Pathways of resilience and evasion of tipping in ecosystems

Informazioni relative al progetto

Resilience

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101071417

DOI

10.3030/101071417

Data della firma CE 29 Marzo 2023

Data di avvio 1 Aprile 2023

Data di completamento 31 Marzo 2029

Finanziato da

• European Research Council (ERC)

Costo totale

€ 9 848 970,00

Contributo UE

€ 9 848 970,00

Coordinato da

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (36)

Multi-front dynamics in spatially inhomogeneous Allen-Cahn equations

Autori: Robbin Bastiaansen, Arjen Doelman, Tasso J. Kaper
Pubblicato in: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Numero 489, 2026, ISSN 0167-2789
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.PHYSD.2026.135139

Vegetation pattern formation induced by local growth outpacing susceptibility to non-local competition

Autori: Jelle van der Voort, Ricardo Martinez-Garcia, Arjen Doelman
Pubblicato in: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Numero 626, 2026, ISSN 0022-5193
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JTBI.2026.112441

How spatiotemporal dynamics can enhance ecosystem resilience

Autori: Pablo Moreno-Spiegelberg, Max Rietkerk, Damià Gomila
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 122, 2025, ISSN 0027-8424
Editore: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2412522122

Water limitation regulates positive feedback of increased ecosystem respiration

Autori: Qin Zhang; Chuixiang Yi; Georgia Destouni; Georg Wohlfahrt; Yakov Kuzyakov; Runze Li; Eric Kutter; Deliang Chen; Max Rietkerk; Stefano Manzoni; Zhenkun Tian; George Hendrey; Wei Fang; Nir Krakauer; Gustaf Hugelius; Jerker Jarsjo; Jianxu Han; Shiguo Xu
Pubblicato in: Nature ecology and evolution, 2024, ISSN 2397-334X
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-024-02501-w

Les Canards de Turing

Autori: Theodore Vo, Arjen Doelman, Tasso J. Kaper
Pubblicato in: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Numero 24, 2025, ISSN 1536-0040
Editore: Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)
DOI: 10.1137/24M1690722

Indications of Ongoing Noise‐Tipping of a Bifurcating River System

Autori: Astrid Blom, Clàudia Ylla Arbós, M. Kifayath Chowdhury, Arjen Doelman, Max Rietkerk, Ralph M. J. Schielen
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111846

Basal ice but not summer temperature affects land surface greenness in parts of the landscape in high Arctic tundra

Autori: Lia Lechler, Åshild Ønvik Pedersen, Isla H Myers-Smith, Mathilde Le Moullec, Leif Egil Loe, Brage Bremset Hansen, Larissa T Beumer, Virve Ravolainen
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 20, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AE2141

Widespread forest-savanna coexistence but limited bistability at a landscape scale in Central Africa

Autori: Aart Zwaan, Arie Staal, Mariska te Beest, Max Rietkerk
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8cef

A global analysis of how human infrastructure squeezes sandy coasts

Autori: Eva M. Lansu, Valérie C. Reijers, Solveig Höfer, Arjen Luijendijk, Max Rietkerk, Martin J. Wassen, Evert Jan Lammerts, Tjisse van der Heide
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44659-0

Ecological Feedbacks in the Earth System

Autori: Eugene J. Murphy, Jessica J. Williams, Isla H. Myers‐Smith, Vivienne P. Groner, David M. P. Jacoby, Lester Kwiatkowski, Jess Melbourne‐Thomas, Emma Ransome, Cristina Banks‐Leite, Laurent Bopp, Marion Gehlen, Eileen E. Hofmann, Babette Hoogakker, Nadine M. Johnston, Yadvinder Malhi, Emma L. Cavan
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF006478

Vegetation Patterning Can Both Impede and Trigger Critical Transitions from Savanna to Grassland

Autori: Jelle van der Voort, Mara Baudena, Ehud Meron, Max Rietkerk, Arjen Doelman
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ADC3AB

A connectivity threshold between grass patches amplifies coastal dune formation

Autori: Paul M. J. Berghuis, Valérie C. Reijers, Johan van de Koppel, Angeles G. Mayor, Daniil J. P. Scheifes, Max Rietkerk, Tjisse van der Heide
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 17, 2026, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-026-70552-7

The formation of periodic three-body orbits for Newtonian systems

Autori: Simon Portegies Zwart, Arjen Doelman, Jelmer Sein
Pubblicato in: Astronomy & Astrophysics, Numero 707, 2026, ISSN 0004-6361
Editore: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202558230

Snow persistence lowers and delays peak NDVI, the vegetation index that underpins Arctic greening analyses

Autori: Calum G Hoad, Isla H Myers-Smith, Jeff T Kerby, Claudia Colesie, Jakob J Assmann
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 20, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ADACFF

Guerrilla clonal growth strategy leads to amorphous pattern formation in a drylands vegetation model

Autori: Andrea Davin, Jost von Hardenberg, Paul M.J. Berghuis, Ángeles G. Mayor, Enrico Magazzino, Max Rietkerk, Frits Veerman, Mara Baudena
Pubblicato in: Ecological Modelling, Numero 515, 2026, ISSN 0304-3800
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL.2026.111510

Can spatial self-organization inhibit evolutionary adaptation?

Autori: B. K. Bera, O. Tzuk, J. J. R. Bennett, U. Dieckmann, E. Meron
Pubblicato in: Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Numero 22, 2025, ISSN 1742-5662
Editore: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSIF.2024.0454

Plant diversity dynamics over space and time in a warming Arctic

Autori: Mariana García Criado, Isla H. Myers-Smith, Anne D. Bjorkman, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Signe Normand, Peter Aastrup, Rien Aerts, Juha M. Alatalo, Lander Baeten, Robert G. Björk, Mats P. Björkman, Noémie Boulanger-Lapointe, Ethan E. Butler, Elisabeth J. Cooper, J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Gergana N. Daskalova, Belen Fadrique, Bruce C. Forbes, Greg H. R. Henry, Robert D. Hollister, Toke Thomas Høye, Ida Bomholt Dyrholm Jacobsen, Annika K. Jägerbrand, Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Olga Khitun, Kari Klanderud, Tiina H. M. Kolari, Simone I. Lang, Nicolas Lecomte, Jonathan Lenoir, Petr Macek, Julie Messier, Anders Michelsen, Ulf Molau, Robert Muscarella, Marie-Louise Nielsen, Matteo Petit Bon, Eric Post, Katrine Raundrup, Riikka Rinnan, Christian Rixen, Ingvild Ryde, Josep M. Serra-Diaz, Gabriela Schaepman-Strub, Niels M. Schmidt, Franziska Schrodt, Sofie Sjögersten, Manuel J. Steinbauer, Lærke Stewart, Beate Strandberg, Anne Tolvanen, Craig E. Tweedie, Mark Vellend
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 642, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08946-8

Time‐lapse cameras bridge the gap between remote sensing and in situ observations of tundra phenology

Autori: Geerte Fälthammar de Jong, Elise Gallois, Joseph S. Boyle, Maude Grenier, Isla H. Myers‐Smith, Anne Bjorkman
Pubblicato in: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-210X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.70188

Vegetation pattern formation and community assembly under drying climate trends

Autori: Michel A. Ferré, Induja Pavithran, Bidesh K. Bera, Hannes Uecker, Ehud Meron
Pubblicato in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numero 35, 2025, ISSN 1054-1500
Editore: AIP Publishing
DOI: 10.1063/5.0241537

Deformations of acid-mediated invasive tumors in a model with Allee effect

Autori: Paul Carter, Arjen Doelman, Peter van Heijster, Daniel Levy, Philip Maini, Erin Okey, Paige Yeung
Pubblicato in: arXiv:2408.16172 [math.AP], 2024, ISSN 2331-8422
Editore: Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2408.16172

Deformations of acid-mediated invasive tumors in a model with Allee effect

Autori: Paul Carter, Arjen Doelman, Peter van Heijster, Daniel Levy, Philip Maini, Erin Okey, Paige Yeung
Pubblicato in: Journal of Mathematical Biology, Numero 90, 2025, ISSN 0303-6812
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S00285-025-02209-W

Principles for guiding future research on resilience and tipping points

Autori: Chuixiang Yi, Max Rietkerk, John M Anderies, Deliang Chen, Vasilis Dakos, Paul D L Ritchie, Juan C Rocha, Manjana Milkoreit, Courtney Quinn
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 20, 2025, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ADB7F3

Contrasting thermophilization among forests, grasslands and alpine summits

Autori: Kai Yue, Pieter Vangansbeke, Isla H. Myers-Smith, Donald M. Waller, Kris Verheyen, Markus Bernhardt-Römermann, Lander Baeten, Ingmar R. Staude, Anne D. Bjorkman, Radim Hédl, Christopher Andrews, Elena Barni, Thomas Becker, Antoine Becker-Scarpitta, José-Luis Benito-Alonso, Jonathan Bennie, Imre Berki, Volker Blüml, Jörg Brunet, James M. Bullock, Hans Van Calster, Michele Carbognani, Markéta Chudomelová, Déborah Closset-Kopp, Pavel Dan Turtureanu, Gergana N. Daskalova, Guillaume Decocq, Jan Dick, Martin Diekmann, Thomas Dirnböck, Tomasz Durak, Ove Eriksson, Brigitta Erschbamer, Bente Jessen Graae, Thilo Heinken, Martin Hermy, Peter Horchler, Ute Jandt, Bogdan Jaroszewicz, Róbert Kanka, Jozef Kollár, Martin Kopecký, Thomas Kudernatsch, Andrea Lamprecht, Jonathan Lenoir, Martin Macek, Marek Malicki, František Máliš, Ottar Michelsen, Fraser Mitchell, Tobias Naaf, Thomas A. Nagel, Miles Newman, Adrian C. Newton, Lena Nicklas, Ludovica Oddi, Anna Orczewska, Simone Orsenigo, Adrienne Ortmann-Ajkai, Jan den Ouden, Harald Pauli, George Peterken, Petr Petřík, Remigiusz Pielech, Mihai Puşcaş, Christophe Randin, Kamila Reczyńska, Christian Rixen, Fride Høistad Schei, Wolfgang Schmidt, Jan Šebesta, Alina Stachurska-Swakon, Tibor Standovár, Krzysztof Świerkosz, Balázs Teleki, Jean-Paul Theurillat, Tudor-Mihai Ursu, Thomas Vanneste, Mark Vellend, Philippine Vergeer, Ondřej Vild, Luis Villar, Pascal Vittoz, Manuela Winkler, Sonja Wipf, Fuzhong Wu, Shengmin Zhang, Pieter De Frenne
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 653, 2026, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09622-7

Tundra Vegetation Community Type, Not Microclimate, Controls Asynchrony of Above‐ and Below‐Ground Phenology

Autori: Elise C. Gallois, Isla H. Myers‐Smith, Colleen M. Iversen, Verity G. Salmon, Laura L. Turner, Ruby An, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Courtney G. Collins, Madelaine J. R. Anderson, Amanda Young, Lisa Pilkinton, Gesche Blume‐Werry, Maude Grenier, Geerte Fälthammar‐de Jong, Inge H. J. Althuizen, Casper T. Christiansen, Simone I. Lang, Cassandra Elphinstone, Greg H. R. Henry, Nicola Rammell, Michelle C. Mack, Craig See, Christian Rixen, Robert D. Hollister
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, Numero 31, 2025, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.70153

Rethinking Tipping Points in Spatial Ecosystems

Autori: Swarnendu Banerjee, Mara Baudena, Paul Carter, Robbin Bastiaansen, Arjen Doelman, Max Rietkerk
Pubblicato in: The American Naturalist, Numero 207, 2026, ISSN 0003-0147
Editore: University of Chicago Press
DOI: 10.1086/739177

Cool topoclimates promote cold-adapted plant diversity in temperate mountain forests

Autori: Jeremy Borderieux, Emiel De Lombaerde, Karen De Pauw, Pieter Sanczuk, Pieter Vangansbeke, Thomas Vanneste, Pieter De Frenne, Jean-Claude Gégout, Josep Serra-Diaz
Pubblicato in: Peer Community Journal, Numero 5, 2025, ISSN 2804-3871
Editore: Peer Community In
DOI: 10.24072/PCJOURNAL.519

Plant diversity dynamics over space and time in a warming Arctic

Autori: Mariana García Criado, Isla H. Myers-Smith, Anne D. Bjorkman, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Signe Normand, Peter Aastrup, Rien Aerts, Juha M. Alatalo, Lander Baeten, Robert G. Björk, Mats P. Björkman, Noémie Boulanger-Lapointe, Ethan E. Butler, Elisabeth J. Cooper, J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Gergana N. Daskalova, Belen Fadrique, Bruce C. Forbes, Greg H. R. Henry, Robert D. Hollister, Toke Thomas Høye, Ida Bomholt Dyrholm Jacobsen, Annika K. Jägerbrand, Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Olga Khitun, Kari Klanderud, Tiina H. M. Kolari, Simone I. Lang, Nicolas Lecomte, Jonathan Lenoir, Petr Macek, Julie Messier, Anders Michelsen, Ulf Molau, Robert Muscarella, Marie-Louise Nielsen, Matteo Petit Bon, Eric Post, Katrine Raundrup, Riikka Rinnan, Christian Rixen, Ingvild Ryde, Josep M. Serra-Diaz, Gabriela Schaepman-Strub, Niels M. Schmidt, Franziska Schrodt, Sofie Sjögersten, Manuel J. Steinbauer, Lærke Stewart, Beate Strandberg, Anne Tolvanen, Craig E. Tweedie, Mark Vellend
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08946-8

Traveling vegetation-herbivore waves can sustain ecosystems threatened by droughts and population growth

Autori: Joydeep Singha, Hannes Uecker, Ehud Meron
Pubblicato in: arXiv:2410.04305 [q-bio.PE], 2024, ISSN 2331-8422
Editore: Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2410.04305

Ambiguity of early warning signals for climate tipping points

Autori: Max Rietkerk, Vanessa Skiba, Els Weinans, Raphaël Hébert, Thomas Laepple
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02328-8

Travelling pulses on three spatial scales in a Klausmeier-type vegetation-autotoxicity model

Autori: Paul Carter, Arjen Doelman, Annalisa Iuorio, Frits Veerman
Pubblicato in: Nonlinearity, Numero 37, 2024, ISSN 0951-7715
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1361-6544/ad6112

A review of dynamics in spatial savanna models

Autori: Xenia Sterl, Els Weinans, Anna van der Kaaden, Arjen Doelman, Max Rietkerk
Pubblicato in: Ecological Modelling, Numero 517, 2026, ISSN 0304-3800
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL.2026.111621

The evasion of tipping: Pattern formation near a Turing-fold bifurcation

Autori: Dock Staal, Arjen Doelman
Pubblicato in: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Numero 486, 2026, ISSN 0167-2789
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.PHYSD.2025.135019

Phenotypic plasticity: A missing element in the theory of vegetation pattern formation

Autori: Jamie J. R. Bennett, Bidesh K. Bera, Michel Ferré, Hezi Yizhaq, Stephan Getzin, Ehud Meron
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 120, 2023, ISSN 0027-8424
Editore: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2311528120

Borealisation of Plant Communities in the Arctic Is Driven by Boreal‐Tundra Species

Autori: Mariana García Criado, Isabel C. Barrio, James D. M. Speed, Anne D. Bjorkman, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Isla H. Myers‐Smith, Rien Aerts, Juha M. Alatalo, Katlyn R. Betway‐May, Robert G. Björk, Mats P. Björkman, Daan Blok, Elisabeth J. Cooper, J. Hans C. Cornelissen, William A. Gould, Ragnhild Gya, Greg H. R. Henry, Luise Hermanutz, Robert D. Hollister, Annika K. Jägerbrand, Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Olga Khitun, Simone I. Lang, Petr Macek, Jeremy L. May, Anders Michelsen, Signe Normand, Siri L. Olsen, Eric Post, Riikka Rinnan, Niels Martin Schmidt, Sofie Sjogersten, Anne Tolvanen, Joachim P. Töpper, Andrew Trant, Vigdis Vandvik, Tage Vowles
Pubblicato in: Ecology Letters, Numero 28, 2025, ISSN 1461-023X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70209

Spatial and temporal scale–dependent feedbacks govern dynamics of biocrusts in drylands

Autori: Jingyao Sun, Kailiang Yu, Max Rietkerk, Ning Chen, Hongxia Zhang, Guang Song, Xinrong Li
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 122, 2025, ISSN 0027-8424
Editore: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2424836122

Traveling vegetation–herbivore waves may sustain ecosystems threatened by droughts and population growth

Autori: Joydeep Singha, Hannes Uecker, Ehud Meron
Pubblicato in: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Numero 483, 2026, ISSN 0167-2789
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.PHYSD.2025.134914

Other (1)

Plant community borealization in the Arctic is driven by boreal-tundra boundary species

Autori: Mariana García Criado, Isabel Barrio, James Speed, Isla Myers-Smith, Anne Bjorkman, Rien Aerts, Juha Alatalo, Katlyn Betway-May, Robert Björk, Mats Björkman, Daan Blok, Elisabeth Cooper, J. Hans Cornelissen, Sarah Elmendorf, William Gould, Ragnhild Gya, Greg Henry, Luise Hermanutz, Robert Hollister, Annika Jägerbrand, Ingibjörg Svala Jónsdóttir, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Olga Khitun, Simone Lang, Petr Macek, Jeremy May, Anders Michelsen, Signe Normand, Siri Olsen, Eric Post, Riikka Rinnan, Niels Schmidt, Sofie Sjögersten, Anne Tolvanen, Joachim Töpper, Andrew Trant, Vigdis Vandvik, Tage Vowles
Pubblicato in: 2025
Editore: California Digital Library (CDL)
DOI: 10.32942/X2534Q