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CORDIS - Forschungsergebnisse der EU
CORDIS

WorldTrans - TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE

CORDIS bietet Links zu öffentlichen Ergebnissen und Veröffentlichungen von HORIZONT-Projekten.

Links zu Ergebnissen und Veröffentlichungen von RP7-Projekten sowie Links zu einigen Typen spezifischer Ergebnisse wie Datensätzen und Software werden dynamisch von OpenAIRE abgerufen.

Leistungen

2nd Annual workshop report (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

This deliverable is the report from the second annual workshop. The report will include key results from workshop, assessment of milestone and needs for adjustment of project plan, action list towards next workshop (Milestone 4), key messages for dissemination and communication and so forth.Supported by Task 5.1.

Report on needs for adjustments of Key Project Results (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

The Key Project Results (KPRs) are formulated to assist the management of the project. If they are not obtained, some part of the project is likely to fail. As the project proceeds, the KPRs may become irrelevant and in need of replacement. This evaluation will be done in Task 5.2. This delivery is a report of the first KPR assessment.

Project Manual (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

A project manual that guides the project participants with respect to the standards that the project plans to adhere to, including reducing the project's carbon footprint, ensuring an open, caring and inclusive work environment and enhancing the non-scientific impacts of the project. This deliverable supports Task 5.1.

Scientific synthesis: fitness for purpose of current IAM approaches (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Scientific synthesis: fitness for purpose of current IAM approaches (including inter-model comparison from users’ perspectives):This deliverable is the publicly disseminated output of Task 4.1, reporting findings of questionnaire- and interview-based ‘market research’ on IAM users, with particular focus on target users in governance contexts beyond national climate policy-making (exploring what they use IAMs for and why, clarifying issues such as trust, confidence and uncertainties in relation to model scope / boundaries). To better understand the suitability, strengths and limitations of current IAM approaches in satisfying the information needs and requests of their users, this deliverable also consists of a structured appraisal of current approaches, including selected case studies relevant to the human world / biophysical Earth IAM developments in WP1 and WP2. This deliverable informs Task 4.4 and the workshops convened in WP5, and is relevant to D3.3’s reporting of simple IAMs and their uncertainties.

1st Annual workshop report (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

This deliverable is the report from the first annual workshop. The report will include key results from workshop, assessment of milestone and needs for adjustment of project plan, action list towards next workshop (Milestone 3), key messages for dissemination and communication and so forth.Supported by Task 5.1.

Report on learning and training: internal summer school (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

To promote mutual learning, especially for project participants who are new to system dynamics and/or IAMs, we will design an educational module for climate system science. In the first workshop we will pilot the co-development of a short, graduate-targeted educational module in interdisciplinary climate science, using a intensive summer-school format. It will use information about IAM contexts, contents and approaches gathered in D4.1, together with the initial core content gathered via Task 4.2 and Milestone 2 and the rough-draft version of FRIDA (D3.1) as the preliminary training materials. The internal summer school will also focus on developing and testing the pedagogy and assessment aspects for consistency and compliance with university and ECTS requirements.This deliverable supports Task 4.3.

The WorldTrans Dissemination, Exploitation and Communication Plan V1 (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

In anticipation of the stakeholder assessment delivered from Task 4.1 we will develop the first version of the DE&C plan with particular focus on identifying key messages for communication, drafting an annual plan of activities/conferences/events of particular, strategic importance in order to reach out to target groups, identifying meaningful KPIs to monitor and evaluate the impact of communcation/dissemination actions. Supports task 5.4

Report on learning and training: educational materials (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

This deliverable, which supports Task 4.3, consists of a collation of interdisciplinary educational materials (e.g. texts, videos, stylized ‘toy’ models and web interfaces) that support the understanding of system dynamics IAM-related models. Aimed at graduate-level education with a co-development and open learning ethos, the core set will be made available via ItsLearning (an online education management platform, used at Stockholm University) and other generic channels. An initial set of course materials drawn from partners’ existing teaching & learning activities will be gathered at the project inception. These core resources will be extended and curated iteratively through engagement with IAM modelers in Task 4.2 (on IAM methodology, structuring, idealization, critique, etc.), and with project-wide discussion during the Milestone 2 workshop. This deliverable is an essential input for Task 4.3.

WordTrans Data Management Plan V1 (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

The data used and produced in WorldTrans consists of a wide variety of disciplines, formats, conventions and size requirements. For the first version of the DM plan (this deliverable) we will have mapped out and formalized user requirement to ensure that we build up a meta database during the project lifetime (and beyond) that satisfies all EU requirements and follows the FAIR principles. Supports Task 5.3.

WordTrans Data Management Plan V2 (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

This report will include all identified needs for updating of the original DM-plan. Supported by Task 5.3.

Dataset and report on effects of uncertainty in specific existing simple IAMs. [FaIR, ESMICON, FeliX, Earth4All] (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Dataset and report on effects of uncertainty in specific existing simple IAMs. [FaIR, ESMICON, FeliX, Earth4All] Supported by T3.3):A dataset of fully descriptive output ranges which can be used to characterize and contextualize IAM outputs along with an associated report on the specifics of the method, and interpretation of the results. We’ll generate this data by performing a global sensitivity analysis (Saltelli et. al, 2008) on each of the models [FaIR, ESMICON, FeliX, Earth4All] across both parametric, and technological / social uncertainties. We’ll then combine the outputs of each of those model specific global sensitivity analyses to generate the complete range of model results. The main workstream for this effort is T3.3. Other tasks relied upon are T1.1 for updated and fully calibrated FaIR, and ESMICON models (D1.1).

Data set of ESM ensemble runs (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Earth system model ensemble production. A large ensemble of Earth System model runs using the MPI-ESM and NorESM models, in CO2 driven mode under the SSP1-1.9, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-3.4 sceanrios, will be completed. The data will be uploaded to suitable servers (likely SIGMA2 and DKRZ) for permissive access to project members.This delivery is supported by Task 1.2.

Veröffentlichungen

Assessing Planetary Boundary Transgressions and Their Causes - Using the FRIDA system dynamics model

Autoren: Eriksson, Axel
Veröffentlicht in: 2025
Herausgeber: LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Eker, S., Lenton, T. M., Powell, T., Scheffran, J., Smith, S. R., Swamy, D., & Zimm, C.
Veröffentlicht in: Earth System Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Herausgeber: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-789-2024

Feedback-based sea level rise impact modelling for integrated assessment models with FRISIAv1.0 (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Lennart Ramme, Benjamin Blanz, Christopher Wells, Tony E. Wong, William Schoenberg, Chris Smith, Chao Li
Veröffentlicht in: Geoscientific Model Development, Ausgabe 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-10017-2025

An endogenous modelling framework of dietary behavioural change in the fully coupled human-climate FRIDA v2.1 model (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Jefferson K. Rajah, Benjamin Blanz, Birgit Kopainsky, William Schoenberg
Veröffentlicht in: Geoscientific Model Development, Ausgabe 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-5997-2025

Polycrisis patterns: applying system archetypes to crisis interactions (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: David Collste, Cristina I. Apetrei, Linda Booth Sweeney, Jessica Lynch Boucher, Jenson Chong-Leng Goh, Olivier Hamant, Christoph E. Mandl, Gillian S. Martin Mehers, Riichiro Oda, Bert J. M. de Vries
Veröffentlicht in: Global Sustainability, Ausgabe 8, 2025, ISSN 2059-4798
Herausgeber: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/SUS.2025.21

Pineapple production and visions of regeneration– contrasting Costa Rican (agri)cultural paradigms (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Luana Schwarz, Carolin Janssen, Johannes Halbe
Veröffentlicht in: Revista Académica Arjé, Ausgabe 8, 2025, ISSN 2215-5538
Herausgeber: Universidad Tecnica Nacional
DOI: 10.47633/2JXKVR72

An overview of FRIDA v2.1: a feedback-based, fully coupled, global integrated assessment model of climate and humans (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: William Schoenberg, Benjamin Blanz, Jefferson K. Rajah, Beniamino Callegari, Christopher Wells, Jannes Breier, Martin B. Grimeland, Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist, Lennart Ramme, Chris Smith, Chao Li, Sarah Mashhadi, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Cecilie Mauritzen
Veröffentlicht in: Geoscientific Model Development, Ausgabe 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-8047-2025

Participatory pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals: Inviting divergent perspectives through a cross-scale systems approach. (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Collste, D., Aguiar, A. P., Harmáčková, Z., Galafassi, D., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., & van der Leeuw, S.
Veröffentlicht in: Environmental Research Communications, 2023, ISSN 2515-7620
Herausgeber: Environmental Research Communications
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/acce25

From situated knowledges to situated modelling: a relational framework for simulation modelling (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Anja Klein, Krystin Unverzagt, Rossella Alba, Jonathan F. Donges, Tilman Hertz, Tobias Krueger, Emilie Lindkvist, Romina Martin, Jörg Niewöhner, Hannah Prawitz, Maja Schlüter, Luana Schwarz, Nanda Wijermans
Veröffentlicht in: Ecosystems and People, Ausgabe 20, 2025, ISSN 2639-5908
Herausgeber: Informa UK Limited
DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2361706

The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Jordan P. Everall, Fabian Tschofenig, Jonathan F. Donges, Ilona M. Otto
Veröffentlicht in: Earth System Dynamics, Ausgabe 16, 2025, ISSN 2190-4987
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-189-2025

Harnessing social tipping dynamics: A systems approach for accelerating decarbonization (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Sibel Eker, Charlie Wilson, Niklas Höhne, Mark S. McCaffrey, Irene Monasterolo, Leila Niamir, Caroline Zimm
Veröffentlicht in: One Earth, Ausgabe 7, 2024, ISSN 2590-3322
Herausgeber: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ONEEAR.2024.05.012

Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, Jonathan F. Donges
Veröffentlicht in: Earth System Dynamics, Ausgabe 16, 2025, ISSN 2190-4987
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-16-1365-2025

Complexity and uncertainty in future food system transformation modelling (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Enayat A. Moallemi, Adam C. Castonguay, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Rohan Nelson, Wolfgang Britz, Cameron Allen, Michalis Hadjikakou, Michael Battaglia, Brett A. Bryan, Costanza Conti, Raymundo Marcos-Martinez, Stefan Frank, Duy Nong, Sibel Eker, Saman Razavi, Javier Navarro-Garcia, Lei Gao
Veröffentlicht in: Nature Food, Ausgabe 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-1355
Herausgeber: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43016-025-01257-1

Integrative Sustainable Development Goal policy portfolios to accelerate global progress towards a more sustainable future: a modelling study (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Jing Yang, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong, Enayat A Moallemi, Sibel Eker, Qi Liu, Zengxiao Chi, Fengming Liu, Michael Obersteiner, Brett A Bryan
Veröffentlicht in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Ausgabe 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Herausgeber: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.101318

Wellbeing cost of carbon (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Sibel Eker, Claudia Reiter, Qi Liu, Michael Kuhn, Wolfgang Lutz
Veröffentlicht in: Global Sustainability, Ausgabe 9, 2026, ISSN 2059-4798
Herausgeber: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/SUS.2025.10042

fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, Antti-Ilari Partanen
Veröffentlicht in: Geoscientific Model Development, Ausgabe 17, 2024, ISSN 1991-9603
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-17-8569-2024

The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Jordan Paul Everall, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
Veröffentlicht in: EGUsphere, 2023, ISSN 2023-2241
Herausgeber: EGUsphere
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241

fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Chris Smith; Donald P. Cummins; Hege-Beate Fredriksen; Zebedee Nicholls; Malte Meinshausen; Myles Allen; Stuart Jenkins; Nicholas Leach; Camilla Mathison; Antti-Ilari Partanen
Veröffentlicht in: EGUsphere, 2024, ISSN 2023-2241
Herausgeber: EGUsphere
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-708

FeliX 2.0: An integrated model of climate, economy, environment, and society interactions (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Ye Q., Liu Q., Swamy D., Gao L., Moallemi E., Rydzak F., Eker S.
Veröffentlicht in: Environmental Modeling and Software, 2024, ISSN 1873-6726
Herausgeber: ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106121

A systematic method to integrate co‐produced causal loop diagrams based on feedback stories (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Jefferson K. Rajah, Birgit Kopainsky
Veröffentlicht in: System Dynamics Review, Ausgabe 41, 2025, ISSN 0883-7066
Herausgeber: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/SDR.1794

Social media data shed light on air-conditioning interest of heat-vulnerable regions and sociodemographic groups (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Sibel Eker; Alessio Mastrucci; Shonali Pachauri; Bas van Ruijven
Veröffentlicht in: One Earth, 2023, ISSN 2590-3322
Herausgeber: One Earth
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.03.011

Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Man Mei Chim, Thomas J. Aubry, Chris Smith, Anja Schmidt
Veröffentlicht in: Communications Earth & Environment, Ausgabe 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Herausgeber: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02208-1

A rapid-application emissions-to-impacts tool for scenario assessment: Probabilistic Regional Impacts from Model patterns and Emissions (PRIME) (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Chris J. Smith, Norman J. Steinert, Andy J. Wiltshire, Chris Huntingford, Eszter Kovacs, Laila K. Gohar, Rebecca M. Varney, Douglas McNeall
Veröffentlicht in: Geoscientific Model Development, Ausgabe 18, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-18-1785-2025

What do you mean 'Climate Change'? An analysis of climate change framings in three climate assemblies (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Corinna Zeitfogel, Tim Daw, David Collste
Veröffentlicht in: Environmental Science & Policy, Ausgabe 162, 2024, ISSN 1462-9011
Herausgeber: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENVSCI.2024.103936

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf E. V. Jansen, Daniel I. Avila Ortega, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steven J. Lade, Thomas Hahn, Carl Folke, Garry D. Peterson, Anne-Sophie Crépin
Veröffentlicht in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Ausgabe 379, 2024, ISSN 0962-8436
Herausgeber: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSTB.2022.0261

Climate uncertainty impacts on optimal mitigation pathways and social cost of carbon (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Christopher J Smith, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Doris Folini Pu Yang,
Veröffentlicht in: environmental research letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Herausgeber: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acedc6

Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, Bryan M. Spears
Veröffentlicht in: Earth System Dynamics, Ausgabe 15, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Herausgeber: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-15-1179-2024

A software package for assessing terrestrial planetary boundaries (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Dieter Gerten, Johanna Braun, Jannes Breier, Wolfgang Lucht, Arne Tobian, Fabian Stenzel
Veröffentlicht in: One Earth, Ausgabe 8, 2025, ISSN 2590-3322
Herausgeber: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.ONEEAR.2025.101341

A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Timothy M. Lenton, Thomas W. R. Powell, Steven R. Smith, Frank W. Geels, Floor Alkemade, Martina Ayoub, Pete Barbrook-Johnson, Scarlett Benson, Fenna Blomsma, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Sara M. Constantino, Sibel Eker, Kai Greenlees, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Kelly Levin, Michael B. Mascia, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Ilona M. Otto, Viktoria Spaiser, Simon Sharpe, Talia Smith
Veröffentlicht in: Sustainability Science, Ausgabe 21, 2026, ISSN 1862-4065
Herausgeber: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S11625-025-01704-9

Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5 °C with and without overshoot (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire
Veröffentlicht in: Nature Climate Change, Ausgabe 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Herausgeber: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02327-9

Positive tipping cascades

Autoren: Sibel Eker, Jürgen Scheffran, Timothy M. Lenton, Caroline Zimm, Steven R. Smith, Deepthi Swamy, Tom Powell
Veröffentlicht in: Global Tipping Points Report, 2023
Herausgeber: Global Tipping Points

A dynamic systems approach to harness the potential of social tipping (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Eker, Sibel; Wilson, Charlie; Höhne, Niklas; McCaffrey, Mark S.; Monasterolo, Irene; Niamir, Leila; Zimm, Caroline
Veröffentlicht in: arXiv preprint arXiv, 2023
Herausgeber: Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.2309.14964

Full of Economic-Environment Linkages and Integration dX/dt (FeliX): Technical Model Documentation

Autoren: Eker S, Liu Q, Reiter C, & Kuhn M.
Veröffentlicht in: IIASA Report, 2023, ISSN 0250-7625
Herausgeber: https://iiasa.ac.at/

Towards a fully coupled Integrated Climate Assessment Model: FRIDA Version 0.1 (Feedback-based knowledge Repository for IntegrateD Assessments)

Autoren: William Schoenberg, Sarah Mashhadi, Cecilie Mauritzen, Chris Smith, Beniamino Callegari, David Collste, Sarah Cornell, Ada Gjermundsen
Veröffentlicht in: System Dynamics Conference (ISDC) 2023, 2023, ISSN 1099-1727
Herausgeber: SYSTEM DYNAMICS SOCIETY

Engaged decision making: From team knowledge to team decisions (öffnet in neuem Fenster)

Autoren: Rouwette, E. A. J. A. and L. A. Franco
Veröffentlicht in: 2024
Herausgeber: Routledge
DOI: 10.4324/9781003404200

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