Eco-Epidemiological Intelligence for early Warning and response to mosquito-borne disease risk in Endemic and Emergence settings

Información del proyecto

E4Warning

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101086640

DOI

10.3030/101086640

Fecha de la firma de la CE 4 Octubre 2022

Fecha de inicio 1 Enero 2023

Fecha de finalización 31 Diciembre 2026

Financiado con arreglo a

• Food, Bioeconomy Natural Resources, Agriculture and Environment

Coste total

€ 4 082 528,75

Aportación de la UE

€ 4 082 528,75

Coordinado por

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Data sets, microdata, etc (1)

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sites

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sitesTask 5.1 contributes to this deliverable

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Augmenting community-driven vector surveillance with automated image classification: Lessons from the Artificial Intelligence Mosquito Alert (AIMA) system

Autores: Monika Falk, Joan Garriga, Roger Eritja, Isis Sanpera-Calbet, Enric Pou, Alex Richter-Boix, John R.B. Palmer, Frederic Bartumeus
Publicado en: Epidemics, Edición 53, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2025.100863

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

Autores: Zhiyuan Chen, Joseph L.-H. Tsui, Jun Cai, Shuo Su, Cécile Viboud, Louis du Plessis, Philippe Lemey, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Hongjie Yu
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-55840-Y

Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis

Autores: Giovenale Moirano, Chloe Fletcher, Jan C. Semenza, Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Edición 48, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2024.101149

Compound and cascading effects of climatic extremes on dengue outbreak risk in the Caribbean: an impact-based modelling framework with long-lag and short-lag interactions

Autores: Chloe Fletcher, Giovenale Moirano, Tilly Alcayna, Leslie Rollock, Cédric J Van Meerbeeck, Roché Mahon, Adrian Trotman, Laura-Lee Boodram, Tia Browne, Sabu Best, Daniela Lührsen, Avriel R Diaz, Willy Dunbar, Catherine A Lippi, Sadie J Ryan, Felipe J Colón-González, Anna M Stewart-Ibarra, Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.06.003

Climate variation and serotype competition drive dengue outbreak dynamics in Singapore

Autores: Emilie Finch, Chia-chen Chang, Adam Kucharski, Shuzhen Sim, Lee-Ching Ng, Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66411-6

Introduction, establishment, and distribution of Aedes aegypti and dengue in a temperate capital of Brazil: a retrospective surveillance-based study

Autores: Danielle Andreza da Cruz Ferreira, Laís Picinini Freitas, Rachel Lowe, Getúlio Dornelles Souza, Ricardo Toshio Fujiwara, Raquel Martins Lana
Publicado en: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Edición 48, 2025, ISSN 2667-193X
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANA.2025.101153

Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile

Autores: Bernardo Gutierrez; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Giulia Pullano; Mattia Mazzoli; Karthik Gangavarapu; Rhys P.D. Inward; Sumali Bajaj; Rosario Evans Pena; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Alejandra Dunner; Rodrigo Puentes; Salvador Ayala; Jorge Fernandez; Rafael Araos; Leo Ferres; Vittoria Colizza; Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publicado en: PNAS Nexus, Edición 3, 11, 2024, ISSN 2752-6542
Editor: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae483

Impacts of climate change-related human migration on infectious diseases

Autores: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Rosario Evans Pena; Monika Moir; Rhys P. D. Inward; Eduan Wilkinson; James Emmanuel San; Jenicca Poongavanan; Sumali Bajaj; Bernardo Gutierrez; Abhishek Dasgupta; Tulio de Oliveira; Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Houriiyah Tegally; Prathyush Sambaturu
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 14: 793–802, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558%2D024%2D02078%2Dz,-Oct%204%

Residual Longevity of Recaptured Sterile Mosquitoes as a Tool to Understand Field Performance and Reveal Quality

Autores: Georgios Balatsos, Laura Blanco-Sierra, Vasileios Karras, Arianna Puggioli, Hugo Costa Osório, Romeo Bellini, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Jérémy Bouyer, Frederic Bartumeus, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Antonios Michaelakis
Publicado en: Insects, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS15110826

Strengthening resilience to emerging vector-borne diseases in Europe: lessons learnt from countries facing endemic transmission

Autores: G.E.C. Charnley, T. Alcayna, A. Almuedo-Riera, C. Antoniou, A. Badolo, F. Bartumeus, L.-L. Boodram, R. Bueno-Marí, C. Codeço, F.C. Coelho, F. Costa, H. Cox, N. Haddad, N.A. Hamid, P. Kittayapong, G. Korukluoğlu, A. Michaelakis, R. Maciel-de-Freitas, T. Mo
Publicado en: The Lancet Regional Health Europe, Edición 53, 101271, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Editor: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.10127

Synchronized dynamics of dengue across the Americas

Autores: Talia M. Quandelacy, Maria F. Vincente-González, Maria Eugenia Grillet, Manuel Colomé-Hidalgo, Demian Herrera, Jomil M. Torres Aponte, Melissa Marzán Rodríguez, Laura E. Adams, Gabriela Paz-Bailey, Dania M. Rodriguez, César Munayco, Laura Figueroa, Rolando Masis, Mercy Borbor-Cordova, Esteban Ortiz-Prado, Matias Piaggio, Leslie Rollock, Guillermo Barrenechea, Aníbal Carbajo, Elizabet L. Estallo, Thais dos Santos, Michael A. Robert, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Rachel Lowe, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Bernardo Garcia-Carreras, Derek Cummings, Michael A. Johansson
Publicado en: Science Translational Medicine, Edición 17, 2025, ISSN 1946-6234
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCITRANSLMED.ADQ4326

Suppression of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) populations using the boosted sterile insect technique in Greece

Autores: Athanasios Giatropoulos, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Renaud Lancelot, Jérémy Bouyer, Arianna Puggioli, Romeo Bellini, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Ioannis Mouratidis, Antonios Michaelakis
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-025-22454-9

Two-Year Entomological Survey of Mosquito Fauna in the Attica Region, Greece: Species Composition

Autores: Marina Bisia, Georgios Balatsos, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Nikolaos Tegos, Evangelia Zavitsanou, Vasileios Karras, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Michaelakis, Eleni Patsoula
Publicado en: Insects, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Editor: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS16040406

Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics

Autores: Cathal Mills, Francesca Falconi-Agapito, Jean-Paul Carrera, Cesar Munayco, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Christl A. Donnelly
Publicado en: Royal Society Open Science, Edición 12, 2025, ISSN 2054-5703
Editor: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSOS.241870

Nature Communications

Autores: Chen, Z; Tsui, JL; Cai, J; Su, S; Viboud, C; du Plessis, L; Lemey, P; Kraemer, MUG; Yu, H
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 16, 475, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55840-y

Spatiotemporal dynamics and determinants of yellow fever outbreaks in 21st century Brazil: an ecological study

Autores: Fabricio T O Ker, Chloe Fletcher, Sophie A Lee, Adriano Pinter, Mariângela Carneiro, Rachel Lowe, David S Barbosa
Publicado en: Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Edición 119, 2025, ISSN 0035-9203
Editor: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/TRSTMH/TRAF081

Genomic Characterization of Circulating Dengue Virus, Ethiopia, 2022–2023

Autores: Adugna Abera, Houriiyah Tegally, Geremew Tasew, Eduan Wilkinson, Abraham Ali, Feyisa Regasa, Molalegne Bitew, Mahlet Belachew, Lucious Chabuka, Gaspary Mwanyika, Derek Tshiabuila, Jennifer Giandhari, Sureshnee Pillay, Jenicca Poogavanan, Monika Moir, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Kamran Khan, Carmen Huber, Getachew Tollera, Tobias F. Rinke de Wit, Cheryl Baxter, Richard Lessells, Dawit Wolday, Dereje Beyene, Tulio de Oliveira, null null
Publicado en: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Edición 31, 2025, ISSN 1080-6040
Editor: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
DOI: 10.3201/EID3103.240996

Automated classification of mixed populations of Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus mosquitoes under field conditions

Autores: Fábio Castelo Branco Fontes Paes Njaime, Renato Cesar Máspero, André de Souza Leandro, Rafael Maciel-de-Freitas
Publicado en: Parasites & Vectors, Edición 17, 2024, ISSN 1756-3305
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-024-06417-z

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study

Autores: Poongavanan, Jenicca; Lourenço, José; Tsui, Joseph L.H.; Colizza, Vittoria; Ramphal, Yajna; Baxter, Cheryl; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Dunaiski, Marcel; Oliveira, Tulio de; Tegally, Houriiyah
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 8, 12, E1043-E1054, 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00272-9

Insects

Autores: Balatsos, Georgios; Blanco-Sierra, Laura; Karras, Vasileios; Puggioli, Arianna; Costa Osório, Hugo; Bellini, Romeo; Papachristos, Dimitrios P.; Bouyer, Jérémy; Bartumeus, Frederic; Papadopoulos, Nikos T.; Michaelakis, Antonios
Publicado en: Insects, Edición 15(11), 826, 2024, ISSN 2075-4450
Editor: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/insects15110826

<scp>MoveTraits</scp> —A Database for Integrating Animal Behaviour Into Trait‐Based Ecology

Autores: Larissa T. Beumer, Anne G. Hertel, Raphaël Royauté, Marlee A. Tucker, Jörg Albrecht, Roxanne S. Beltran, Francesca Cagnacci, Sarah C. Davidson, Nandintsetseg Dejid, Roland Kays, Andrea Kölzsch, Ashley Lohr, Eike Lena Neuschulz, Kamran Safi, Anne K. Scharf, Matthias Schleuning, Martin Wikelski, Thomas Mueller
Publicado en: Ecology Letters, Edición 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70297

Toward optimal disease surveillance with graph-based active learning

Autores: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Mengyan Zhang; Prathyush Sambaturu; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Seth Flaxman; Elizaveta Semenova; Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Publicado en: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Edición 121 (52) e2412424121, 2024, ISSN 1091-6490
Editor: PNAS
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2412424121

The overlapping global distribution of dengue, chikungunya, Zika and yellow fever

Autores: Ahyoung Lim, Freya M. Shearer, Kara Sewalk, David M. Pigott, Joseph Clarke, Azhar Ghouse, Ciara Judge, Hyolim Kang, Jane P. Messina, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, William M. de Souza, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Michael Celone, Nuno Faria, Sadie J. Ryan, Ingrid B. Rabe, Diana P. Rojas, Simon I. Hay, John S. Brownstein, Nick Golding, Oliver J. Brady
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-58609-5

Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

Autores: Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Serina Y. Chang; Spyros Lytras; Mark P. Khurana; Samantha Vanderslott; Sumali Bajaj; Neil Scheidwasser; Jacob Liam Curran-Sebastian; Elizaveta Semenova; Mengyan Zhang; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Oliver J. Watson; Cathal Mills; Abhishek Dasgupta; Luca Ferretti; Samuel V. Scarpino; Etien Koua; Oliver Morgan; Houriiyah Tegally; Ulrich Paquet; Loukas Moutsianas; Christophe Fraser; Neil M. Ferguson; Eric J. Topol; David A. Duchêne; Tanja Stadler; Patricia Kingori; Michael J. Parker; Francesca Dominici; Nigel Shadbolt; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver Ratmann; Seth Flaxman; Edward C. Holmes; Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez; Bernhard Schölkopf; Christl A. Donnelly; Oliver G. Pybus; Simon Cauchemez; Samir Bhatt
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 638, pages 623–635, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08564-w

Renewal equations for mosquito‐borne diseases

Autores: Cathal Mills, Tarek Alrefae, William S. Hart, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson, Christl A. Donnelly, Ben Lambert
Publicado en: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, Edición 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-210X
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.70110

Sequential Federated Analysis of Early Outbreak Data Applied to Incubation Period Estimation

Autores: Simon Busch-Moreno, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publicado en: Epidemics, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2026.100890

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Autores: William Wint, Cedric Marsboom
Publicado en: EFSA Supporting Publications, Edición 22, 2025, ISSN 2397-8325
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.2903/SP.EFSA.2025.EN-9749

Ecological drivers of arboviral disease risk: Vector-host interfaces in a Mediterranean wetland of Northeastern Spain

Autores: Júlia Froxán-Grabalosa, Simone Mariani, Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias, Alex Richter-Boix, Alex Ollé Torner, Magda Pla, Lluís Brotons, Frederic Bartumeus
Publicado en: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Edición 19, 2025, ISSN 1935-2735
Editor: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0013447

Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases

Autores: Abhishek Dasgupta, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Tuyen Huynh, Cathal Mills, Rowan C. Nicholls, Prathyush Sambaturu, Marc Choisy, David Wallom, Tung Nguyen-Duy, Rhys P. D. Inward, John-Stuart Brittain, Sarah Sparrow, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publicado en: Wellcome Open Research, Edición 10, 2025, ISSN 2398-502X
Editor: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/WELLCOMEOPENRES.24774.2

Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.

Autores: Barcellos, C., Matos, V., Lana, R. M., & Lowe, R
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-56044-y

Understanding Mosquito Vector Invasion Pathways: Synergistic Effects of Human Mobility, Climate and Natural Dispersal

Autores: Marta Pardo‐Araujo, Egor Kotov, David Alonso, Frederic Bartumeus
Publicado en: Ecology Letters, Edición 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Editor: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70317DIGITALOBJECTIDENTIFIER(DOI)

Adult Aedes albopictus in winter: implications for mosquito surveillance in southern Europe

Autores: Daniela Sofie Lührsen; Evangelia Zavitsanou; Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias; Marta Pardo-Araujo; John R B Palmer; Frederic Bartumeus; Tomás Montalvo; Antonios Michaelakis; Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición Volume 7: E729-E731, 2023, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: The Lancet Group / Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/S2542

Harmonizing Multisource Data to Inform Vector-Borne Disease Risk Management Strategies

Autores: Rachel Lowe, Claudia Torres Codeço
Publicado en: Annual Review of Entomology, Edición 70, 2025, ISSN 0066-4170
Editor: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ENTO-040124-015101

Conference proceedings (2)

XIth International EMCA Conference

Autores: null EMCA Scientific Committee
Publicado en: Journal of the European Mosquito Control Association, 2023, ISSN 2054-930X
Editor: Wageningen Academi
DOI: 10.52004/jemca2023.s1

The role of entomological surveillance in mitigating vector risks and monitoring points of entry

Autores: Antonios Michaelakis, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Marina Bisia, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Evangelia Zavitsano, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Psarris, Eleni Patsoula
Publicado en: Population Medicine, Edición vol. 7, no 1, 2025
Editor: European Publishing

Monographic books (1)

Early warning systems for vector-borne diseases: engagement, methods and implementation

Autores: Emilie Finch, Martín Lotto Batista, Tilly Alcayna, Sophie A. Lee, Isabel K. Fletcher, Rachel Lowe
Publicado en: Planetary health approaches to understand and control vector-borne diseases, 2024, ISBN 9789004688650
Editor: Wageningen Academic
DOI: 10.1163/9789004688650