Eco-Epidemiological Intelligence for early Warning and response to mosquito-borne disease risk in Endemic and Emergence settings

Informazioni relative al progetto

E4Warning

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101086640

DOI

10.3030/101086640

Data della firma CE 4 Ottobre 2022

Data di avvio 1 Gennaio 2023

Data di completamento 31 Dicembre 2026

Finanziato da

• Food, Bioeconomy Natural Resources, Agriculture and Environment

Costo totale

€ 4 082 528,75

Contributo UE

€ 4 082 528,75

Coordinato da

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Data sets, microdata, etc (1)

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sites

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sitesTask 5.1 contributes to this deliverable

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Augmenting community-driven vector surveillance with automated image classification: Lessons from the Artificial Intelligence Mosquito Alert (AIMA) system

Autori: Monika Falk, Joan Garriga, Roger Eritja, Isis Sanpera-Calbet, Enric Pou, Alex Richter-Boix, John R.B. Palmer, Frederic Bartumeus
Pubblicato in: Epidemics, Numero 53, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2025.100863

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

Autori: Zhiyuan Chen, Joseph L.-H. Tsui, Jun Cai, Shuo Su, Cécile Viboud, Louis du Plessis, Philippe Lemey, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Hongjie Yu
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-55840-Y

Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis

Autori: Giovenale Moirano, Chloe Fletcher, Jan C. Semenza, Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Numero 48, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2024.101149

Compound and cascading effects of climatic extremes on dengue outbreak risk in the Caribbean: an impact-based modelling framework with long-lag and short-lag interactions

Autori: Chloe Fletcher, Giovenale Moirano, Tilly Alcayna, Leslie Rollock, Cédric J Van Meerbeeck, Roché Mahon, Adrian Trotman, Laura-Lee Boodram, Tia Browne, Sabu Best, Daniela Lührsen, Avriel R Diaz, Willy Dunbar, Catherine A Lippi, Sadie J Ryan, Felipe J Colón-González, Anna M Stewart-Ibarra, Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.06.003

Climate variation and serotype competition drive dengue outbreak dynamics in Singapore

Autori: Emilie Finch, Chia-chen Chang, Adam Kucharski, Shuzhen Sim, Lee-Ching Ng, Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66411-6

Introduction, establishment, and distribution of Aedes aegypti and dengue in a temperate capital of Brazil: a retrospective surveillance-based study

Autori: Danielle Andreza da Cruz Ferreira, Laís Picinini Freitas, Rachel Lowe, Getúlio Dornelles Souza, Ricardo Toshio Fujiwara, Raquel Martins Lana
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Numero 48, 2025, ISSN 2667-193X
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANA.2025.101153

Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile

Autori: Bernardo Gutierrez; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Giulia Pullano; Mattia Mazzoli; Karthik Gangavarapu; Rhys P.D. Inward; Sumali Bajaj; Rosario Evans Pena; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Alejandra Dunner; Rodrigo Puentes; Salvador Ayala; Jorge Fernandez; Rafael Araos; Leo Ferres; Vittoria Colizza; Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Pubblicato in: PNAS Nexus, Numero 3, 11, 2024, ISSN 2752-6542
Editore: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae483

Impacts of climate change-related human migration on infectious diseases

Autori: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Rosario Evans Pena; Monika Moir; Rhys P. D. Inward; Eduan Wilkinson; James Emmanuel San; Jenicca Poongavanan; Sumali Bajaj; Bernardo Gutierrez; Abhishek Dasgupta; Tulio de Oliveira; Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Houriiyah Tegally; Prathyush Sambaturu
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 14: 793–802, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558%2D024%2D02078%2Dz,-Oct%204%

Residual Longevity of Recaptured Sterile Mosquitoes as a Tool to Understand Field Performance and Reveal Quality

Autori: Georgios Balatsos, Laura Blanco-Sierra, Vasileios Karras, Arianna Puggioli, Hugo Costa Osório, Romeo Bellini, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Jérémy Bouyer, Frederic Bartumeus, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Antonios Michaelakis
Pubblicato in: Insects, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS15110826

Strengthening resilience to emerging vector-borne diseases in Europe: lessons learnt from countries facing endemic transmission

Autori: G.E.C. Charnley, T. Alcayna, A. Almuedo-Riera, C. Antoniou, A. Badolo, F. Bartumeus, L.-L. Boodram, R. Bueno-Marí, C. Codeço, F.C. Coelho, F. Costa, H. Cox, N. Haddad, N.A. Hamid, P. Kittayapong, G. Korukluoğlu, A. Michaelakis, R. Maciel-de-Freitas, T. Mo
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Regional Health Europe, Numero 53, 101271, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Editore: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.10127

Synchronized dynamics of dengue across the Americas

Autori: Talia M. Quandelacy, Maria F. Vincente-González, Maria Eugenia Grillet, Manuel Colomé-Hidalgo, Demian Herrera, Jomil M. Torres Aponte, Melissa Marzán Rodríguez, Laura E. Adams, Gabriela Paz-Bailey, Dania M. Rodriguez, César Munayco, Laura Figueroa, Rolando Masis, Mercy Borbor-Cordova, Esteban Ortiz-Prado, Matias Piaggio, Leslie Rollock, Guillermo Barrenechea, Aníbal Carbajo, Elizabet L. Estallo, Thais dos Santos, Michael A. Robert, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Rachel Lowe, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Bernardo Garcia-Carreras, Derek Cummings, Michael A. Johansson
Pubblicato in: Science Translational Medicine, Numero 17, 2025, ISSN 1946-6234
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCITRANSLMED.ADQ4326

Suppression of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) populations using the boosted sterile insect technique in Greece

Autori: Athanasios Giatropoulos, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Renaud Lancelot, Jérémy Bouyer, Arianna Puggioli, Romeo Bellini, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Ioannis Mouratidis, Antonios Michaelakis
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-025-22454-9

Two-Year Entomological Survey of Mosquito Fauna in the Attica Region, Greece: Species Composition

Autori: Marina Bisia, Georgios Balatsos, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Nikolaos Tegos, Evangelia Zavitsanou, Vasileios Karras, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Michaelakis, Eleni Patsoula
Pubblicato in: Insects, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS16040406

Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics

Autori: Cathal Mills, Francesca Falconi-Agapito, Jean-Paul Carrera, Cesar Munayco, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Christl A. Donnelly
Pubblicato in: Royal Society Open Science, Numero 12, 2025, ISSN 2054-5703
Editore: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSOS.241870

Nature Communications

Autori: Chen, Z; Tsui, JL; Cai, J; Su, S; Viboud, C; du Plessis, L; Lemey, P; Kraemer, MUG; Yu, H
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 475, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55840-y

Spatiotemporal dynamics and determinants of yellow fever outbreaks in 21st century Brazil: an ecological study

Autori: Fabricio T O Ker, Chloe Fletcher, Sophie A Lee, Adriano Pinter, Mariângela Carneiro, Rachel Lowe, David S Barbosa
Pubblicato in: Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Numero 119, 2025, ISSN 0035-9203
Editore: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/TRSTMH/TRAF081

Genomic Characterization of Circulating Dengue Virus, Ethiopia, 2022–2023

Autori: Adugna Abera, Houriiyah Tegally, Geremew Tasew, Eduan Wilkinson, Abraham Ali, Feyisa Regasa, Molalegne Bitew, Mahlet Belachew, Lucious Chabuka, Gaspary Mwanyika, Derek Tshiabuila, Jennifer Giandhari, Sureshnee Pillay, Jenicca Poogavanan, Monika Moir, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Kamran Khan, Carmen Huber, Getachew Tollera, Tobias F. Rinke de Wit, Cheryl Baxter, Richard Lessells, Dawit Wolday, Dereje Beyene, Tulio de Oliveira, null null
Pubblicato in: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Numero 31, 2025, ISSN 1080-6040
Editore: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
DOI: 10.3201/EID3103.240996

Automated classification of mixed populations of Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus mosquitoes under field conditions

Autori: Fábio Castelo Branco Fontes Paes Njaime, Renato Cesar Máspero, André de Souza Leandro, Rafael Maciel-de-Freitas
Pubblicato in: Parasites & Vectors, Numero 17, 2024, ISSN 1756-3305
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-024-06417-z

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study

Autori: Poongavanan, Jenicca; Lourenço, José; Tsui, Joseph L.H.; Colizza, Vittoria; Ramphal, Yajna; Baxter, Cheryl; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Dunaiski, Marcel; Oliveira, Tulio de; Tegally, Houriiyah
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero 8, 12, E1043-E1054, 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00272-9

Insects

Autori: Balatsos, Georgios; Blanco-Sierra, Laura; Karras, Vasileios; Puggioli, Arianna; Costa Osório, Hugo; Bellini, Romeo; Papachristos, Dimitrios P.; Bouyer, Jérémy; Bartumeus, Frederic; Papadopoulos, Nikos T.; Michaelakis, Antonios
Pubblicato in: Insects, Numero 15(11), 826, 2024, ISSN 2075-4450
Editore: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/insects15110826

<scp>MoveTraits</scp> —A Database for Integrating Animal Behaviour Into Trait‐Based Ecology

Autori: Larissa T. Beumer, Anne G. Hertel, Raphaël Royauté, Marlee A. Tucker, Jörg Albrecht, Roxanne S. Beltran, Francesca Cagnacci, Sarah C. Davidson, Nandintsetseg Dejid, Roland Kays, Andrea Kölzsch, Ashley Lohr, Eike Lena Neuschulz, Kamran Safi, Anne K. Scharf, Matthias Schleuning, Martin Wikelski, Thomas Mueller
Pubblicato in: Ecology Letters, Numero 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70297

Toward optimal disease surveillance with graph-based active learning

Autori: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Mengyan Zhang; Prathyush Sambaturu; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Seth Flaxman; Elizaveta Semenova; Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 121 (52) e2412424121, 2024, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: PNAS
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2412424121

The overlapping global distribution of dengue, chikungunya, Zika and yellow fever

Autori: Ahyoung Lim, Freya M. Shearer, Kara Sewalk, David M. Pigott, Joseph Clarke, Azhar Ghouse, Ciara Judge, Hyolim Kang, Jane P. Messina, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, William M. de Souza, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Michael Celone, Nuno Faria, Sadie J. Ryan, Ingrid B. Rabe, Diana P. Rojas, Simon I. Hay, John S. Brownstein, Nick Golding, Oliver J. Brady
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-58609-5

Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

Autori: Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Serina Y. Chang; Spyros Lytras; Mark P. Khurana; Samantha Vanderslott; Sumali Bajaj; Neil Scheidwasser; Jacob Liam Curran-Sebastian; Elizaveta Semenova; Mengyan Zhang; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Oliver J. Watson; Cathal Mills; Abhishek Dasgupta; Luca Ferretti; Samuel V. Scarpino; Etien Koua; Oliver Morgan; Houriiyah Tegally; Ulrich Paquet; Loukas Moutsianas; Christophe Fraser; Neil M. Ferguson; Eric J. Topol; David A. Duchêne; Tanja Stadler; Patricia Kingori; Michael J. Parker; Francesca Dominici; Nigel Shadbolt; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver Ratmann; Seth Flaxman; Edward C. Holmes; Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez; Bernhard Schölkopf; Christl A. Donnelly; Oliver G. Pybus; Simon Cauchemez; Samir Bhatt
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 638, pages 623–635, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08564-w

Renewal equations for mosquito‐borne diseases

Autori: Cathal Mills, Tarek Alrefae, William S. Hart, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson, Christl A. Donnelly, Ben Lambert
Pubblicato in: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-210X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.70110

Sequential Federated Analysis of Early Outbreak Data Applied to Incubation Period Estimation

Autori: Simon Busch-Moreno, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Pubblicato in: Epidemics, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2026.100890

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Autori: William Wint, Cedric Marsboom
Pubblicato in: EFSA Supporting Publications, Numero 22, 2025, ISSN 2397-8325
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.2903/SP.EFSA.2025.EN-9749

Ecological drivers of arboviral disease risk: Vector-host interfaces in a Mediterranean wetland of Northeastern Spain

Autori: Júlia Froxán-Grabalosa, Simone Mariani, Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias, Alex Richter-Boix, Alex Ollé Torner, Magda Pla, Lluís Brotons, Frederic Bartumeus
Pubblicato in: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Numero 19, 2025, ISSN 1935-2735
Editore: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0013447

Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases

Autori: Abhishek Dasgupta, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Tuyen Huynh, Cathal Mills, Rowan C. Nicholls, Prathyush Sambaturu, Marc Choisy, David Wallom, Tung Nguyen-Duy, Rhys P. D. Inward, John-Stuart Brittain, Sarah Sparrow, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Pubblicato in: Wellcome Open Research, Numero 10, 2025, ISSN 2398-502X
Editore: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/WELLCOMEOPENRES.24774.2

Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.

Autori: Barcellos, C., Matos, V., Lana, R. M., & Lowe, R
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-56044-y

Understanding Mosquito Vector Invasion Pathways: Synergistic Effects of Human Mobility, Climate and Natural Dispersal

Autori: Marta Pardo‐Araujo, Egor Kotov, David Alonso, Frederic Bartumeus
Pubblicato in: Ecology Letters, Numero 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70317DIGITALOBJECTIDENTIFIER(DOI)

Adult Aedes albopictus in winter: implications for mosquito surveillance in southern Europe

Autori: Daniela Sofie Lührsen; Evangelia Zavitsanou; Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias; Marta Pardo-Araujo; John R B Palmer; Frederic Bartumeus; Tomás Montalvo; Antonios Michaelakis; Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero Volume 7: E729-E731, 2023, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: The Lancet Group / Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/S2542

Harmonizing Multisource Data to Inform Vector-Borne Disease Risk Management Strategies

Autori: Rachel Lowe, Claudia Torres Codeço
Pubblicato in: Annual Review of Entomology, Numero 70, 2025, ISSN 0066-4170
Editore: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ENTO-040124-015101

Conference proceedings (2)

XIth International EMCA Conference

Autori: null EMCA Scientific Committee
Pubblicato in: Journal of the European Mosquito Control Association, 2023, ISSN 2054-930X
Editore: Wageningen Academi
DOI: 10.52004/jemca2023.s1

The role of entomological surveillance in mitigating vector risks and monitoring points of entry

Autori: Antonios Michaelakis, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Marina Bisia, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Evangelia Zavitsano, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Psarris, Eleni Patsoula
Pubblicato in: Population Medicine, Numero vol. 7, no 1, 2025
Editore: European Publishing

Monographic books (1)

Early warning systems for vector-borne diseases: engagement, methods and implementation

Autori: Emilie Finch, Martín Lotto Batista, Tilly Alcayna, Sophie A. Lee, Isabel K. Fletcher, Rachel Lowe
Pubblicato in: Planetary health approaches to understand and control vector-borne diseases, 2024, ISBN 9789004688650
Editore: Wageningen Academic
DOI: 10.1163/9789004688650