Eco-Epidemiological Intelligence for early Warning and response to mosquito-borne disease risk in Endemic and Emergence settings

Informations projet

E4Warning

N° de convention de subvention: 101086640

DOI

10.3030/101086640

Date de signature de la CE 4 Octobre 2022

Date de début 1 Janvier 2023

Date de fin 31 Decembre 2026

Financé au titre de

• Food, Bioeconomy Natural Resources, Agriculture and Environment

Coût total

€ 4 082 528,75

Contribution de l’UE

€ 4 082 528,75

Coordonné par

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Data sets, microdata, etc (1)

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sites

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sitesTask 5.1 contributes to this deliverable

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Augmenting community-driven vector surveillance with automated image classification: Lessons from the Artificial Intelligence Mosquito Alert (AIMA) system

Auteurs: Monika Falk, Joan Garriga, Roger Eritja, Isis Sanpera-Calbet, Enric Pou, Alex Richter-Boix, John R.B. Palmer, Frederic Bartumeus
Publié dans: Epidemics, Numéro 53, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2025.100863

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

Auteurs: Zhiyuan Chen, Joseph L.-H. Tsui, Jun Cai, Shuo Su, Cécile Viboud, Louis du Plessis, Philippe Lemey, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Hongjie Yu
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-55840-Y

Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis

Auteurs: Giovenale Moirano, Chloe Fletcher, Jan C. Semenza, Rachel Lowe
Publié dans: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Numéro 48, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2024.101149

Compound and cascading effects of climatic extremes on dengue outbreak risk in the Caribbean: an impact-based modelling framework with long-lag and short-lag interactions

Auteurs: Chloe Fletcher, Giovenale Moirano, Tilly Alcayna, Leslie Rollock, Cédric J Van Meerbeeck, Roché Mahon, Adrian Trotman, Laura-Lee Boodram, Tia Browne, Sabu Best, Daniela Lührsen, Avriel R Diaz, Willy Dunbar, Catherine A Lippi, Sadie J Ryan, Felipe J Colón-González, Anna M Stewart-Ibarra, Rachel Lowe
Publié dans: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numéro 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.06.003

Climate variation and serotype competition drive dengue outbreak dynamics in Singapore

Auteurs: Emilie Finch, Chia-chen Chang, Adam Kucharski, Shuzhen Sim, Lee-Ching Ng, Rachel Lowe
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66411-6

Introduction, establishment, and distribution of Aedes aegypti and dengue in a temperate capital of Brazil: a retrospective surveillance-based study

Auteurs: Danielle Andreza da Cruz Ferreira, Laís Picinini Freitas, Rachel Lowe, Getúlio Dornelles Souza, Ricardo Toshio Fujiwara, Raquel Martins Lana
Publié dans: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Numéro 48, 2025, ISSN 2667-193X
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANA.2025.101153

Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile

Auteurs: Bernardo Gutierrez; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Giulia Pullano; Mattia Mazzoli; Karthik Gangavarapu; Rhys P.D. Inward; Sumali Bajaj; Rosario Evans Pena; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Alejandra Dunner; Rodrigo Puentes; Salvador Ayala; Jorge Fernandez; Rafael Araos; Leo Ferres; Vittoria Colizza; Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publié dans: PNAS Nexus, Numéro 3, 11, 2024, ISSN 2752-6542
Éditeur: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae483

Impacts of climate change-related human migration on infectious diseases

Auteurs: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Rosario Evans Pena; Monika Moir; Rhys P. D. Inward; Eduan Wilkinson; James Emmanuel San; Jenicca Poongavanan; Sumali Bajaj; Bernardo Gutierrez; Abhishek Dasgupta; Tulio de Oliveira; Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Houriiyah Tegally; Prathyush Sambaturu
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 14: 793–802, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558%2D024%2D02078%2Dz,-Oct%204%

Residual Longevity of Recaptured Sterile Mosquitoes as a Tool to Understand Field Performance and Reveal Quality

Auteurs: Georgios Balatsos, Laura Blanco-Sierra, Vasileios Karras, Arianna Puggioli, Hugo Costa Osório, Romeo Bellini, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Jérémy Bouyer, Frederic Bartumeus, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Antonios Michaelakis
Publié dans: Insects, Numéro 15, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Éditeur: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS15110826

Strengthening resilience to emerging vector-borne diseases in Europe: lessons learnt from countries facing endemic transmission

Auteurs: G.E.C. Charnley, T. Alcayna, A. Almuedo-Riera, C. Antoniou, A. Badolo, F. Bartumeus, L.-L. Boodram, R. Bueno-Marí, C. Codeço, F.C. Coelho, F. Costa, H. Cox, N. Haddad, N.A. Hamid, P. Kittayapong, G. Korukluoğlu, A. Michaelakis, R. Maciel-de-Freitas, T. Mo
Publié dans: The Lancet Regional Health Europe, Numéro 53, 101271, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Éditeur: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.10127

Synchronized dynamics of dengue across the Americas

Auteurs: Talia M. Quandelacy, Maria F. Vincente-González, Maria Eugenia Grillet, Manuel Colomé-Hidalgo, Demian Herrera, Jomil M. Torres Aponte, Melissa Marzán Rodríguez, Laura E. Adams, Gabriela Paz-Bailey, Dania M. Rodriguez, César Munayco, Laura Figueroa, Rolando Masis, Mercy Borbor-Cordova, Esteban Ortiz-Prado, Matias Piaggio, Leslie Rollock, Guillermo Barrenechea, Aníbal Carbajo, Elizabet L. Estallo, Thais dos Santos, Michael A. Robert, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Rachel Lowe, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Bernardo Garcia-Carreras, Derek Cummings, Michael A. Johansson
Publié dans: Science Translational Medicine, Numéro 17, 2025, ISSN 1946-6234
Éditeur: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCITRANSLMED.ADQ4326

Suppression of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) populations using the boosted sterile insect technique in Greece

Auteurs: Athanasios Giatropoulos, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Renaud Lancelot, Jérémy Bouyer, Arianna Puggioli, Romeo Bellini, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Ioannis Mouratidis, Antonios Michaelakis
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-025-22454-9

Two-Year Entomological Survey of Mosquito Fauna in the Attica Region, Greece: Species Composition

Auteurs: Marina Bisia, Georgios Balatsos, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Nikolaos Tegos, Evangelia Zavitsanou, Vasileios Karras, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Michaelakis, Eleni Patsoula
Publié dans: Insects, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Éditeur: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS16040406

Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics

Auteurs: Cathal Mills, Francesca Falconi-Agapito, Jean-Paul Carrera, Cesar Munayco, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Christl A. Donnelly
Publié dans: Royal Society Open Science, Numéro 12, 2025, ISSN 2054-5703
Éditeur: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSOS.241870

Nature Communications

Auteurs: Chen, Z; Tsui, JL; Cai, J; Su, S; Viboud, C; du Plessis, L; Lemey, P; Kraemer, MUG; Yu, H
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 475, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55840-y

Spatiotemporal dynamics and determinants of yellow fever outbreaks in 21st century Brazil: an ecological study

Auteurs: Fabricio T O Ker, Chloe Fletcher, Sophie A Lee, Adriano Pinter, Mariângela Carneiro, Rachel Lowe, David S Barbosa
Publié dans: Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Numéro 119, 2025, ISSN 0035-9203
Éditeur: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/TRSTMH/TRAF081

Genomic Characterization of Circulating Dengue Virus, Ethiopia, 2022–2023

Auteurs: Adugna Abera, Houriiyah Tegally, Geremew Tasew, Eduan Wilkinson, Abraham Ali, Feyisa Regasa, Molalegne Bitew, Mahlet Belachew, Lucious Chabuka, Gaspary Mwanyika, Derek Tshiabuila, Jennifer Giandhari, Sureshnee Pillay, Jenicca Poogavanan, Monika Moir, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Kamran Khan, Carmen Huber, Getachew Tollera, Tobias F. Rinke de Wit, Cheryl Baxter, Richard Lessells, Dawit Wolday, Dereje Beyene, Tulio de Oliveira, null null
Publié dans: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Numéro 31, 2025, ISSN 1080-6040
Éditeur: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
DOI: 10.3201/EID3103.240996

Automated classification of mixed populations of Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus mosquitoes under field conditions

Auteurs: Fábio Castelo Branco Fontes Paes Njaime, Renato Cesar Máspero, André de Souza Leandro, Rafael Maciel-de-Freitas
Publié dans: Parasites & Vectors, Numéro 17, 2024, ISSN 1756-3305
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-024-06417-z

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study

Auteurs: Poongavanan, Jenicca; Lourenço, José; Tsui, Joseph L.H.; Colizza, Vittoria; Ramphal, Yajna; Baxter, Cheryl; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Dunaiski, Marcel; Oliveira, Tulio de; Tegally, Houriiyah
Publié dans: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numéro 8, 12, E1043-E1054, 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00272-9

Insects

Auteurs: Balatsos, Georgios; Blanco-Sierra, Laura; Karras, Vasileios; Puggioli, Arianna; Costa Osório, Hugo; Bellini, Romeo; Papachristos, Dimitrios P.; Bouyer, Jérémy; Bartumeus, Frederic; Papadopoulos, Nikos T.; Michaelakis, Antonios
Publié dans: Insects, Numéro 15(11), 826, 2024, ISSN 2075-4450
Éditeur: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/insects15110826

<scp>MoveTraits</scp> —A Database for Integrating Animal Behaviour Into Trait‐Based Ecology

Auteurs: Larissa T. Beumer, Anne G. Hertel, Raphaël Royauté, Marlee A. Tucker, Jörg Albrecht, Roxanne S. Beltran, Francesca Cagnacci, Sarah C. Davidson, Nandintsetseg Dejid, Roland Kays, Andrea Kölzsch, Ashley Lohr, Eike Lena Neuschulz, Kamran Safi, Anne K. Scharf, Matthias Schleuning, Martin Wikelski, Thomas Mueller
Publié dans: Ecology Letters, Numéro 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70297

Toward optimal disease surveillance with graph-based active learning

Auteurs: Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Mengyan Zhang; Prathyush Sambaturu; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Seth Flaxman; Elizaveta Semenova; Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numéro 121 (52) e2412424121, 2024, ISSN 1091-6490
Éditeur: PNAS
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2412424121

The overlapping global distribution of dengue, chikungunya, Zika and yellow fever

Auteurs: Ahyoung Lim, Freya M. Shearer, Kara Sewalk, David M. Pigott, Joseph Clarke, Azhar Ghouse, Ciara Judge, Hyolim Kang, Jane P. Messina, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, William M. de Souza, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Michael Celone, Nuno Faria, Sadie J. Ryan, Ingrid B. Rabe, Diana P. Rojas, Simon I. Hay, John S. Brownstein, Nick Golding, Oliver J. Brady
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-58609-5

Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

Auteurs: Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Serina Y. Chang; Spyros Lytras; Mark P. Khurana; Samantha Vanderslott; Sumali Bajaj; Neil Scheidwasser; Jacob Liam Curran-Sebastian; Elizaveta Semenova; Mengyan Zhang; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Oliver J. Watson; Cathal Mills; Abhishek Dasgupta; Luca Ferretti; Samuel V. Scarpino; Etien Koua; Oliver Morgan; Houriiyah Tegally; Ulrich Paquet; Loukas Moutsianas; Christophe Fraser; Neil M. Ferguson; Eric J. Topol; David A. Duchêne; Tanja Stadler; Patricia Kingori; Michael J. Parker; Francesca Dominici; Nigel Shadbolt; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver Ratmann; Seth Flaxman; Edward C. Holmes; Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez; Bernhard Schölkopf; Christl A. Donnelly; Oliver G. Pybus; Simon Cauchemez; Samir Bhatt
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 638, pages 623–635, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08564-w

Renewal equations for mosquito‐borne diseases

Auteurs: Cathal Mills, Tarek Alrefae, William S. Hart, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson, Christl A. Donnelly, Ben Lambert
Publié dans: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, Numéro 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-210X
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.70110

Sequential Federated Analysis of Early Outbreak Data Applied to Incubation Period Estimation

Auteurs: Simon Busch-Moreno, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publié dans: Epidemics, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2026.100890

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Auteurs: William Wint, Cedric Marsboom
Publié dans: EFSA Supporting Publications, Numéro 22, 2025, ISSN 2397-8325
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.2903/SP.EFSA.2025.EN-9749

Ecological drivers of arboviral disease risk: Vector-host interfaces in a Mediterranean wetland of Northeastern Spain

Auteurs: Júlia Froxán-Grabalosa, Simone Mariani, Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias, Alex Richter-Boix, Alex Ollé Torner, Magda Pla, Lluís Brotons, Frederic Bartumeus
Publié dans: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Numéro 19, 2025, ISSN 1935-2735
Éditeur: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0013447

Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases

Auteurs: Abhishek Dasgupta, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Tuyen Huynh, Cathal Mills, Rowan C. Nicholls, Prathyush Sambaturu, Marc Choisy, David Wallom, Tung Nguyen-Duy, Rhys P. D. Inward, John-Stuart Brittain, Sarah Sparrow, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Publié dans: Wellcome Open Research, Numéro 10, 2025, ISSN 2398-502X
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/WELLCOMEOPENRES.24774.2

Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.

Auteurs: Barcellos, C., Matos, V., Lana, R. M., & Lowe, R
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-56044-y

Understanding Mosquito Vector Invasion Pathways: Synergistic Effects of Human Mobility, Climate and Natural Dispersal

Auteurs: Marta Pardo‐Araujo, Egor Kotov, David Alonso, Frederic Bartumeus
Publié dans: Ecology Letters, Numéro 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70317DIGITALOBJECTIDENTIFIER(DOI)

Adult Aedes albopictus in winter: implications for mosquito surveillance in southern Europe

Auteurs: Daniela Sofie Lührsen; Evangelia Zavitsanou; Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias; Marta Pardo-Araujo; John R B Palmer; Frederic Bartumeus; Tomás Montalvo; Antonios Michaelakis; Rachel Lowe
Publié dans: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numéro Volume 7: E729-E731, 2023, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: The Lancet Group / Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/S2542

Harmonizing Multisource Data to Inform Vector-Borne Disease Risk Management Strategies

Auteurs: Rachel Lowe, Claudia Torres Codeço
Publié dans: Annual Review of Entomology, Numéro 70, 2025, ISSN 0066-4170
Éditeur: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ENTO-040124-015101

Conference proceedings (2)

XIth International EMCA Conference

Auteurs: null EMCA Scientific Committee
Publié dans: Journal of the European Mosquito Control Association, 2023, ISSN 2054-930X
Éditeur: Wageningen Academi
DOI: 10.52004/jemca2023.s1

The role of entomological surveillance in mitigating vector risks and monitoring points of entry

Auteurs: Antonios Michaelakis, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Marina Bisia, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Evangelia Zavitsano, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Psarris, Eleni Patsoula
Publié dans: Population Medicine, Numéro vol. 7, no 1, 2025
Éditeur: European Publishing

Monographic books (1)

Early warning systems for vector-borne diseases: engagement, methods and implementation

Auteurs: Emilie Finch, Martín Lotto Batista, Tilly Alcayna, Sophie A. Lee, Isabel K. Fletcher, Rachel Lowe
Publié dans: Planetary health approaches to understand and control vector-borne diseases, 2024, ISBN 9789004688650
Éditeur: Wageningen Academic
DOI: 10.1163/9789004688650