Eco-Epidemiological Intelligence for early Warning and response to mosquito-borne disease risk in Endemic and Emergence settings

Project Information

E4Warning

Grant agreement ID: 101086640

DOI

10.3030/101086640

EC signature date 4 October 2022

Start date 1 January 2023

End date 31 December 2026

Funded under

• Food, Bioeconomy Natural Resources, Agriculture and Environment

Total cost

€ 4 082 528,75

EU contribution

€ 4 082 528,75

Coordinated by

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
Spain

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Data sets, microdata, etc (1)

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sites

Modelled monthly bird habitat suitability and species composition for the study sitesTask 5.1 contributes to this deliverable

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (33)

Augmenting community-driven vector surveillance with automated image classification: Lessons from the Artificial Intelligence Mosquito Alert (AIMA) system

Author(s): Monika Falk, Joan Garriga, Roger Eritja, Isis Sanpera-Calbet, Enric Pou, Alex Richter-Boix, John R.B. Palmer, Frederic Bartumeus
Published in: Epidemics, Issue 53, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2025.100863

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

Author(s): Zhiyuan Chen, Joseph L.-H. Tsui, Jun Cai, Shuo Su, Cécile Viboud, Louis du Plessis, Philippe Lemey, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Hongjie Yu
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-55840-Y

Short-term effect of temperature and precipitation on the incidence of West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease in Europe: a multi-country case-crossover analysis

Author(s): Giovenale Moirano, Chloe Fletcher, Jan C. Semenza, Rachel Lowe
Published in: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Issue 48, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANEPE.2024.101149

Compound and cascading effects of climatic extremes on dengue outbreak risk in the Caribbean: an impact-based modelling framework with long-lag and short-lag interactions

Author(s): Chloe Fletcher, Giovenale Moirano, Tilly Alcayna, Leslie Rollock, Cédric J Van Meerbeeck, Roché Mahon, Adrian Trotman, Laura-Lee Boodram, Tia Browne, Sabu Best, Daniela Lührsen, Avriel R Diaz, Willy Dunbar, Catherine A Lippi, Sadie J Ryan, Felipe J Colón-González, Anna M Stewart-Ibarra, Rachel Lowe
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 9, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANPLH.2025.06.003

Climate variation and serotype competition drive dengue outbreak dynamics in Singapore

Author(s): Emilie Finch, Chia-chen Chang, Adam Kucharski, Shuzhen Sim, Lee-Ching Ng, Rachel Lowe
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66411-6

Introduction, establishment, and distribution of Aedes aegypti and dengue in a temperate capital of Brazil: a retrospective surveillance-based study

Author(s): Danielle Andreza da Cruz Ferreira, Laís Picinini Freitas, Rachel Lowe, Getúlio Dornelles Souza, Ricardo Toshio Fujiwara, Raquel Martins Lana
Published in: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Issue 48, 2025, ISSN 2667-193X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANA.2025.101153

Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile

Author(s): Bernardo Gutierrez; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Giulia Pullano; Mattia Mazzoli; Karthik Gangavarapu; Rhys P.D. Inward; Sumali Bajaj; Rosario Evans Pena; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Alejandra Dunner; Rodrigo Puentes; Salvador Ayala; Jorge Fernandez; Rafael Araos; Leo Ferres; Vittoria Colizza; Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Published in: PNAS Nexus, Issue 3, 11, 2024, ISSN 2752-6542
Publisher: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae483

Impacts of climate change-related human migration on infectious diseases

Author(s): Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Rosario Evans Pena; Monika Moir; Rhys P. D. Inward; Eduan Wilkinson; James Emmanuel San; Jenicca Poongavanan; Sumali Bajaj; Bernardo Gutierrez; Abhishek Dasgupta; Tulio de Oliveira; Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Houriiyah Tegally; Prathyush Sambaturu
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 14: 793–802, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558%2D024%2D02078%2Dz,-Oct%204%

Residual Longevity of Recaptured Sterile Mosquitoes as a Tool to Understand Field Performance and Reveal Quality

Author(s): Georgios Balatsos, Laura Blanco-Sierra, Vasileios Karras, Arianna Puggioli, Hugo Costa Osório, Romeo Bellini, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Jérémy Bouyer, Frederic Bartumeus, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Antonios Michaelakis
Published in: Insects, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS15110826

Strengthening resilience to emerging vector-borne diseases in Europe: lessons learnt from countries facing endemic transmission

Author(s): G.E.C. Charnley, T. Alcayna, A. Almuedo-Riera, C. Antoniou, A. Badolo, F. Bartumeus, L.-L. Boodram, R. Bueno-Marí, C. Codeço, F.C. Coelho, F. Costa, H. Cox, N. Haddad, N.A. Hamid, P. Kittayapong, G. Korukluoğlu, A. Michaelakis, R. Maciel-de-Freitas, T. Mo
Published in: The Lancet Regional Health Europe, Issue 53, 101271, 2025, ISSN 2666-7762
Publisher: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.10127

Synchronized dynamics of dengue across the Americas

Author(s): Talia M. Quandelacy, Maria F. Vincente-González, Maria Eugenia Grillet, Manuel Colomé-Hidalgo, Demian Herrera, Jomil M. Torres Aponte, Melissa Marzán Rodríguez, Laura E. Adams, Gabriela Paz-Bailey, Dania M. Rodriguez, César Munayco, Laura Figueroa, Rolando Masis, Mercy Borbor-Cordova, Esteban Ortiz-Prado, Matias Piaggio, Leslie Rollock, Guillermo Barrenechea, Aníbal Carbajo, Elizabet L. Estallo, Thais dos Santos, Michael A. Robert, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Rachel Lowe, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Bernardo Garcia-Carreras, Derek Cummings, Michael A. Johansson
Published in: Science Translational Medicine, Issue 17, 2025, ISSN 1946-6234
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCITRANSLMED.ADQ4326

Suppression of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) populations using the boosted sterile insect technique in Greece

Author(s): Athanasios Giatropoulos, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Renaud Lancelot, Jérémy Bouyer, Arianna Puggioli, Romeo Bellini, Nikos T. Papadopoulos, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Ioannis Mouratidis, Antonios Michaelakis
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-025-22454-9

Two-Year Entomological Survey of Mosquito Fauna in the Attica Region, Greece: Species Composition

Author(s): Marina Bisia, Georgios Balatsos, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Nikolaos Tegos, Evangelia Zavitsanou, Vasileios Karras, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Michaelakis, Eleni Patsoula
Published in: Insects, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2075-4450
Publisher: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/INSECTS16040406

Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics

Author(s): Cathal Mills, Francesca Falconi-Agapito, Jean-Paul Carrera, Cesar Munayco, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Christl A. Donnelly
Published in: Royal Society Open Science, Issue 12, 2025, ISSN 2054-5703
Publisher: The Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/RSOS.241870

Nature Communications

Author(s): Chen, Z; Tsui, JL; Cai, J; Su, S; Viboud, C; du Plessis, L; Lemey, P; Kraemer, MUG; Yu, H
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 475, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55840-y

Spatiotemporal dynamics and determinants of yellow fever outbreaks in 21st century Brazil: an ecological study

Author(s): Fabricio T O Ker, Chloe Fletcher, Sophie A Lee, Adriano Pinter, Mariângela Carneiro, Rachel Lowe, David S Barbosa
Published in: Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Issue 119, 2025, ISSN 0035-9203
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/TRSTMH/TRAF081

Genomic Characterization of Circulating Dengue Virus, Ethiopia, 2022–2023

Author(s): Adugna Abera, Houriiyah Tegally, Geremew Tasew, Eduan Wilkinson, Abraham Ali, Feyisa Regasa, Molalegne Bitew, Mahlet Belachew, Lucious Chabuka, Gaspary Mwanyika, Derek Tshiabuila, Jennifer Giandhari, Sureshnee Pillay, Jenicca Poogavanan, Monika Moir, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Kamran Khan, Carmen Huber, Getachew Tollera, Tobias F. Rinke de Wit, Cheryl Baxter, Richard Lessells, Dawit Wolday, Dereje Beyene, Tulio de Oliveira, null null
Published in: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Issue 31, 2025, ISSN 1080-6040
Publisher: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
DOI: 10.3201/EID3103.240996

Automated classification of mixed populations of Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus mosquitoes under field conditions

Author(s): Fábio Castelo Branco Fontes Paes Njaime, Renato Cesar Máspero, André de Souza Leandro, Rafael Maciel-de-Freitas
Published in: Parasites & Vectors, Issue 17, 2024, ISSN 1756-3305
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-024-06417-z

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study

Author(s): Poongavanan, Jenicca; Lourenço, José; Tsui, Joseph L.H.; Colizza, Vittoria; Ramphal, Yajna; Baxter, Cheryl; Kraemer, Moritz U. G.; Dunaiski, Marcel; Oliveira, Tulio de; Tegally, Houriiyah
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue 8, 12, E1043-E1054, 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: The Lancet
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00272-9

Insects

Author(s): Balatsos, Georgios; Blanco-Sierra, Laura; Karras, Vasileios; Puggioli, Arianna; Costa Osório, Hugo; Bellini, Romeo; Papachristos, Dimitrios P.; Bouyer, Jérémy; Bartumeus, Frederic; Papadopoulos, Nikos T.; Michaelakis, Antonios
Published in: Insects, Issue 15(11), 826, 2024, ISSN 2075-4450
Publisher: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/insects15110826

<scp>MoveTraits</scp> —A Database for Integrating Animal Behaviour Into Trait‐Based Ecology

Author(s): Larissa T. Beumer, Anne G. Hertel, Raphaël Royauté, Marlee A. Tucker, Jörg Albrecht, Roxanne S. Beltran, Francesca Cagnacci, Sarah C. Davidson, Nandintsetseg Dejid, Roland Kays, Andrea Kölzsch, Ashley Lohr, Eike Lena Neuschulz, Kamran Safi, Anne K. Scharf, Matthias Schleuning, Martin Wikelski, Thomas Mueller
Published in: Ecology Letters, Issue 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70297

Toward optimal disease surveillance with graph-based active learning

Author(s): Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Mengyan Zhang; Prathyush Sambaturu; Simon Busch-Moreno; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver G. Pybus; Seth Flaxman; Elizaveta Semenova; Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 121 (52) e2412424121, 2024, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: PNAS
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2412424121

The overlapping global distribution of dengue, chikungunya, Zika and yellow fever

Author(s): Ahyoung Lim, Freya M. Shearer, Kara Sewalk, David M. Pigott, Joseph Clarke, Azhar Ghouse, Ciara Judge, Hyolim Kang, Jane P. Messina, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Katy A. M. Gaythorpe, William M. de Souza, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Michael Celone, Nuno Faria, Sadie J. Ryan, Ingrid B. Rabe, Diana P. Rojas, Simon I. Hay, John S. Brownstein, Nick Golding, Oliver J. Brady
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-58609-5

Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

Author(s): Moritz U. G. Kraemer; Joseph L.-H. Tsui; Serina Y. Chang; Spyros Lytras; Mark P. Khurana; Samantha Vanderslott; Sumali Bajaj; Neil Scheidwasser; Jacob Liam Curran-Sebastian; Elizaveta Semenova; Mengyan Zhang; H. Juliette T. Unwin; Oliver J. Watson; Cathal Mills; Abhishek Dasgupta; Luca Ferretti; Samuel V. Scarpino; Etien Koua; Oliver Morgan; Houriiyah Tegally; Ulrich Paquet; Loukas Moutsianas; Christophe Fraser; Neil M. Ferguson; Eric J. Topol; David A. Duchêne; Tanja Stadler; Patricia Kingori; Michael J. Parker; Francesca Dominici; Nigel Shadbolt; Marc A. Suchard; Oliver Ratmann; Seth Flaxman; Edward C. Holmes; Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez; Bernhard Schölkopf; Christl A. Donnelly; Oliver G. Pybus; Simon Cauchemez; Samir Bhatt
Published in: Nature, Issue 638, pages 623–635, 2025, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08564-w

Renewal equations for mosquito‐borne diseases

Author(s): Cathal Mills, Tarek Alrefae, William S. Hart, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson, Christl A. Donnelly, Ben Lambert
Published in: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-210X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.70110

Sequential Federated Analysis of Early Outbreak Data Applied to Incubation Period Estimation

Author(s): Simon Busch-Moreno, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Published in: Epidemics, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2026.100890

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Author(s): William Wint, Cedric Marsboom
Published in: EFSA Supporting Publications, Issue 22, 2025, ISSN 2397-8325
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.2903/SP.EFSA.2025.EN-9749

Ecological drivers of arboviral disease risk: Vector-host interfaces in a Mediterranean wetland of Northeastern Spain

Author(s): Júlia Froxán-Grabalosa, Simone Mariani, Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias, Alex Richter-Boix, Alex Ollé Torner, Magda Pla, Lluís Brotons, Frederic Bartumeus
Published in: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Issue 19, 2025, ISSN 1935-2735
Publisher: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PNTD.0013447

Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases

Author(s): Abhishek Dasgupta, Iago Perez-Fernandez, Tuyen Huynh, Cathal Mills, Rowan C. Nicholls, Prathyush Sambaturu, Marc Choisy, David Wallom, Tung Nguyen-Duy, Rhys P. D. Inward, John-Stuart Brittain, Sarah Sparrow, Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Published in: Wellcome Open Research, Issue 10, 2025, ISSN 2398-502X
Publisher: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/WELLCOMEOPENRES.24774.2

Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.

Author(s): Barcellos, C., Matos, V., Lana, R. M., & Lowe, R
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-56044-y

Understanding Mosquito Vector Invasion Pathways: Synergistic Effects of Human Mobility, Climate and Natural Dispersal

Author(s): Marta Pardo‐Araujo, Egor Kotov, David Alonso, Frederic Bartumeus
Published in: Ecology Letters, Issue 29, 2026, ISSN 1461-023X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.70317DIGITALOBJECTIDENTIFIER(DOI)

Adult Aedes albopictus in winter: implications for mosquito surveillance in southern Europe

Author(s): Daniela Sofie Lührsen; Evangelia Zavitsanou; Catuxa Cerecedo-Iglesias; Marta Pardo-Araujo; John R B Palmer; Frederic Bartumeus; Tomás Montalvo; Antonios Michaelakis; Rachel Lowe
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue Volume 7: E729-E731, 2023, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: The Lancet Group / Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/S2542

Harmonizing Multisource Data to Inform Vector-Borne Disease Risk Management Strategies

Author(s): Rachel Lowe, Claudia Torres Codeço
Published in: Annual Review of Entomology, Issue 70, 2025, ISSN 0066-4170
Publisher: Annual Reviews
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ENTO-040124-015101

Conference proceedings (2)

XIth International EMCA Conference

Author(s): null EMCA Scientific Committee
Published in: Journal of the European Mosquito Control Association, 2023, ISSN 2054-930X
Publisher: Wageningen Academi
DOI: 10.52004/jemca2023.s1

The role of entomological surveillance in mitigating vector risks and monitoring points of entry

Author(s): Antonios Michaelakis, Georgios Balatsos, Vasileios Karras, Marina Bisia, Maria Sakellariou Sofianou, Stavroula Beleri, Evangelia Zavitsano, Dimitra Kollia, Antonios Psarris, Eleni Patsoula
Published in: Population Medicine, Issue vol. 7, no 1, 2025
Publisher: European Publishing

Monographic books (1)

Early warning systems for vector-borne diseases: engagement, methods and implementation

Author(s): Emilie Finch, Martín Lotto Batista, Tilly Alcayna, Sophie A. Lee, Isabel K. Fletcher, Rachel Lowe
Published in: Planetary health approaches to understand and control vector-borne diseases, 2024, ISBN 9789004688650
Publisher: Wageningen Academic
DOI: 10.1163/9789004688650