Exploring Tipping Points and Their Impacts Using Earth System Models

Informazioni relative al progetto

TipESM

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101137673

DOI

10.3030/101137673

Data della firma CE 24 Ottobre 2023

Data di avvio 1 Gennaio 2024

Data di completamento 31 Dicembre 2027

Finanziato da

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Costo totale

Nessun dato

Contributo UE

€ 4 864 470,59

Coordinato da

DANMARKS METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT
Denmark

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Documents, reports (3)

TipESM Exploitation Strategy

Strategy for elaborating scenarios for the uptake.

TipESM Communication and Dissemination strategy

TipESM Communication and Dissemination strategy.

Report on the clustering event Nr. 1

The clustering event will be organised within WP9 (Task 9.1) and for the audiences identified in Table 2.3. The event will include 60 participants representing 10-15 projects all together and will be held in the period from month 13 to month 14. The report will be on the event itself, including the proceedings of the talks, presentations and panel discussions. The report will also include the conclusions of the discussions at the event, with the emerging recommendations for the uptake of the results discussed at the event.

Data Management Plan (2)

TipESM Data management plan, version Nr.2

Revision of the data management plan.

TipESM Data management plan, version Nr. 1

Data management plan, version Nr.1.

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (16)

On the predictability of possible storylines for forced complex systems

Autori: Johannes Lohmann, Bert Wuyts, Peter Ditlevsen, Peter Ashwin
Pubblicato in: Journal of Physics: Complexity, Numero 5, 2024, ISSN 2632-072X
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/AD7B95

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David Docquier, Jonathan F. Donges, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Ann Kristin Klose, David Obura, Juan Rocha, Stefanie Rynders, Norman Julius Steinert, Matteo Willeit
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-15-41-2024

Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points

Autori: Wood, Richard; Baker, Jonathan; Beaugrand, Grégory; Boutin, Jacqueline; Conversi, Alessandra; Donner, Reik; Frenger, Ivy; Goberville, Eric; Hayashida, Hakase; Koeve, Wolfgang; Kvale, Karin; Landolfi, Angela; Maslowski, Wieslaw; Oschlies, Andreas; Romanou, Anastasia; Somes, Christopher; Stocker, Thomas; Swingedouw, Didier
Pubblicato in: Surveys in Geophysics, Numero 46, 2024, ISSN 1573-0956
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/S10712-024-09859-3

Modeling surge dynamics improves coastal flood estimates in a global set of tropical cyclones

Autori: Thomas Vogt, Simon Treu, Matthias Mengel, Katja Frieler, Christian Otto
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 5, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-024-01707-X

Forecast skill assessment of an operational continental heat-cold-health forecasting system: New avenues for health early warning systems

Autori: Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Desislava Petrova, Èrica Martínez-Solanas, François R. Herrmann, Xavier Rodó, Jean-Marie Robine, Marc Marí-Dell’Olmo, Hicham Achebak, Joan Ballester
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 10, 2024, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO5286

The 2023/24 El Niño and the Feasibility of Long-Lead ENSO Forecasting

Autori: Desislava Petrova, Xavier Rodó, Siem Jan Koopman, Vassil Tzanov, Ivana Cvijanovic
Pubblicato in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Numero 105, 2024, ISSN 0003-0007
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0158.1

Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi-Model Comparison

Autori: M. Ben-Yami, P. Good, L. C. Jackson, M. Crucifix, A. Hu, O. Saenko, D. Swingedouw, N. Boers
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2023EF003959

ClimLoco1.0: CLimate variable confidence Interval of Multivariate Linear Observational COnstraint

Autori: Valentin Portmann; Marie Chavent; Didier Swingedouw
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Model Development, 2025, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2025-62

Declining coral calcification to enhance twenty-first-century ocean carbon uptake by gigatonnes

Autori: Kwiatkowski, Lester; Planchat, Alban; Pyolle, Marc; Torres, Olivier; Bouttes, Nathaelle; Comte, Adrien; Bopp, Laurent
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2025, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/PNAS.2501562122

Modelling marine heatwaves impact on shallow and upper mesophotic tropical coral reefs

Autori: Nicolas Colombi, Chahan M Kropf, Friedrich A Burger, David N Bresch, Thomas L Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AD89DF

The carbonate pump feedback on alkalinity and the carbon cycle in the 21st century and beyond

Autori: Planchat, Alban; Bopp, Laurent; Kwiatkowski, Lester; Torres, Olivier
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESD-15-565-2024

Simulated millennial-scale climate variability driven by a convection–advection oscillator

Autori: Yvan M. Romé, Ruza F. Ivanovic, Lauren J. Gregoire, Didier Swingedouw, Sam Sherriff-Tadano, Reyk Börner
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 63, 2025, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S00382-025-07630-X

Record sea surface temperature jump in 2023–2024 unlikely but not unexpected

Autori: Jens Terhaar, Friedrich A. Burger, Linus Vogt, Thomas L. Frölicher, Thomas F. Stocker
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 639, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08674-Z

A Weakened AMOC Could Cause Southern Ocean Temperature and Sea‐Ice Change on Multidecadal Timescales

Autori: Diamond, Rachel; Sime, Louise C.; Schroeder, David; Jackson, Laura C.; Holland, Paul R.; de Asenjo, Eduardo Alastrué; Bellomo, Katinka; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Hu, Aixue; Jungclaus, Johann; Montoya, Marisa; Meccia, Virna L.; Saenko, Oleg A.; Swingedouw, Didier
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 130, 2025, ISSN 2169-9291
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2024JC022027

Surface and Subsurface Compound Marine Heatwave and Biogeochemical Extremes Under Climate Change

Autori: Natacha Le Grix, Friedrich A. Burger, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numero 39, 2025, ISSN 0886-6236
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025GB008514

Climate change drives shifts in straddling fish stocks in the world’s ocean

Autori: Juliano Palacios-Abrantes, Bianca S. Santos, Thomas L. Frölicher, Gabriel Reygondeau, U. Sumaila, Colette C. C. Wabnitz, William W. L. Cheung
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 11, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADQ5976

Conference proceedings (1)

Raising Awareness of Earth System Tipping Points: Implications for EU Governance

Autori: Galmarini, S., Roman Cuesta, R.M., Dentener, F., Ruiz Moreno, A., Alessi, L. et al.
Pubblicato in: Numero JRC141821, 2025, ISSN 1831-9424
Editore: Publications Office of the European Union
DOI: 10.2760/9047293