Description du projet
Nouvelles approches et nouveaux outils pour évaluer les impacts socio-économiques du changement climatique
Le changement climatique a des répercussions sur une multitude de secteurs du marché, notamment l’agriculture, la sylviculture, la pêche, l’industrie, l’énergie et les infrastructures, ainsi que sur les écosystèmes et la santé. Il est crucial de quantifier les risques et les coûts du changement climatique en Europe dans tous ces domaines, mais cela représente un défi colossal. Le projet COACHH, financé par l’UE, se penche sur la question au moyen de modèles d’impact spatialement explicites, de modèles macroéconomiques à résolution infranationale, de techniques de réduction d’échelle statistique et d’approches non-modélisatrices innovantes. L’équipe abordera les effets sur la compétitivité et la croissance, en explorant le nouveau concept de points de basculement socio-économiques induits par le climat aux niveaux européen et national, et produira des fonctions de dommages climatiques pour aider les utilisateurs à évaluer les scénarios et à prendre des décisions.
Objectif
COACCH will develop an innovative science-practice and integrated approach to co-design and co-deliver an improved downscaled assessment of the risks and costs of climate change in Europe, working with end users from research, business, investment, and policy making communities throughout the project. COACCH will advance the evidence base on complex climate change impact chains, assessing their market, non-market, macroeconomic and social consequences in the EU. It will integrate spatially-explicit impact models, macroeconomic models with subnational resolution, statistical downscaling techniques and innovative non-modelling approaches, covering market (agriculture, forestry, fishery, industry, services, energy, built environment, infrastructure) and non-market sectors (ecosystems, health). It will explicitly look at competitiveness and growth, as well as at the social and economic repercussion of major global climate change in Europe. COACCH will deliver new knowledge on the impacts and economic consequences of climate tipping points of major concern for Europe, and explore the new concept of climate-induced socio-economic tipping points, at European and national level. COACCH will advance the economic valuation of climate action, identifying short to long-term mitigation and adaptation policy under climate change, including extreme events and tipping points. It will compare the respective performances according to different criteria of decision making under uncertainty, reducing uncertainty around valuation. The project will also produce a new generation of climate damage functions accessible to various users. Finally, COACCH will use a wide range of innovative communication and dissemination activities, to promote easier access to the results and ensure the outreach and impact of the project, and contribute to major international scientific networks and reports (IPCC, Climate-ADAPT platform).
Champ scientifique
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesfisheries
- social scienceseconomics and businesseconomicsmacroeconomics
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesagriculture
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesforestry
Mots‑clés
Programme(s)
Régime de financement
RIA - Research and Innovation actionCoordinateur
73100 Lecce
Italie