Promoting disaster preparedness and resilience by co-developing stakeholder support tools for managing the systemic risk of compounding disasters

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

D1.2 Report on virtual participatory workshops in all learning and application case study sites, including impact chains diagram

Report on virtual participatory workshops in all learning and application case study sites, including impact chains diagram.

D6.4 Report 3 of workshops in Application Case Studies

Report 3 of workshops in Application Case Studies

D1.5 Methodology to project LU-LC in a given area based on the analysis of existing remote sensing data and AI

Methodology to project LU-LC in a given area based on the analysis of existing remote sensing data and AI

D1.1 Report on participatory workshops in the four application case study sites, including impact chains diagram for each analysed event.

Report on participatory workshops in the four application case study sites, including impact chains diagram for each analysed event.

D3.2 Guide to stress test future decision making

Guide to stress test future decision making

D1.3 Impact, damage and loss data related to the considered events in the four core cases. Wiki-type structured Database.

Impact, damage and loss data related to the considered events in the four core cases. Wiki-type structured Database.

D3.3 Report of adaptation options

Report of adaptation options detailing the adaptation options, co-designed in the Learning Labs

D6.3 Report 2 of workshops in Application Case Studies

Report 2 of workshops in Application Case Studies

D1.4 Guidelines on the actionable assessment of hazards interactions in compound / cascading events

Guidelines on the actionable assessment of hazards interactions in compound / cascading events

D4.1 The web-based simulation and information service for multi-hazard impact chains. Design document

The web-based simulation and information service for multi-hazard impact chains. Design document.

D6.2 Report 1 of workshops in Application Case Studies

Report 1 of workshops in Application Case Studies

D4.2 The web-based simulation and information service for multi-hazard impact chains. First version.

The web-based simulation and information service for multi-hazard impact chains. First version.

D3.1 Virtual compilation of toolbox

Virtual compilation of toolbox. A selection of virtual tools for effective approaches for DRR & adaptation compiled and tested.

D3.4 Serious game

Serious game. One serious game based on immersive user experience has been designed and tested

Pubblicazioni

An impact-chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics: the multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania

Autori: Andra-Cosmina Albulescu, Iuliana Armaș
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 24, 2026, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-24-2895-2024

Improving our understanding of future tropical cyclone intensities in the Caribbean using a high-resolution regional climate model

Autori: Job C. M. Dullaart, Hylke de Vries, Nadia Bloemendaal, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Sanne Muis
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-023-49685-Y

Unveiling spatial inequalities: Exploring county-level disaster damages and social vulnerability on public disaster assistance in contiguous US

Autori: Yu Han, Haifeng Jia, Changqing Xu, Marija Bockarjova, Cees van Westen, Luigi Lombardo
Pubblicato in: Journal of Environmental Management, Numero 351, 2025, ISSN 0301-4797
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2023.119690

Governing the unpriced hazard: A land-use policy framework for spatially concentrated seismic risk when markets do not capitalise it

Autori: Kerem Yavuz Arslanlı, Seda Kundak, Çağlar Göksu, Ahmet Atıl Aşıcı, Ali Yılmaz, Duygu Kalkanlı, Cihan Mert Sabah
Pubblicato in: Land Use Policy, Numero 172, 2026, ISSN 0264-8377
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANDUSEPOL.2026.108356

How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia

Autori: Núria Pantaleoni Reluy, Marcel Hürlimann, Nieves Lantada
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 25, 2026, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-25-3483-2025

Vulnerable Cores, Expanding Peripheries: Intra-Urban Population Redistribution and Seismic-Risk Exposure Across Istanbul’s 847 Mahalle, 2007–2035

Autori: Kerem Yavuz Arslanlı, Seda Kundak, Çağlar Göksu, Ahmet Atıl Asıcı, Ali Yılmaz, Duygu Kalkanlı, Cihan Mert Sabah
Pubblicato in: Urban Science, Numero 10, 2026, ISSN 2413-8851
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/URBANSCI10070358

Identifying Natech vulnerability based on the Istanbul earthquake scenario at the neighborhood level

Autori: Ahmet Atıl Aşıcı, Ali Yılmaz, Seda Kundak, Çaglar Göksu, Kerem Yavuz Arslanlı, Duygu Kalkanlı, Cihan Mert Sabah
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards, Numero 122, 2026, ISSN 0921-030X
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S11069-026-08179-6

Connections between robust statistical estimation, robust decision making with two-stage stochastic optimization, and robust machine learning problems

Autori: Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Havlik, P., Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Komendantova, N., Kahil, T., Balkovič, J., Skalský, R., et al.
Pubblicato in: Cybernetics and systems analysis, Numero 59, 2023, ISSN 1573-8337
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10559-023-00573-3

Cascading hazards in volcanic environments: monitoring, modelling and impact analysis of tsunamigenic flows for risk reduction

Autori: Irene Manzella, Symeon Makris, Daniele Casalbore, Paul Cole, Karim Kelfoun, Aggeliki Georgiopoulou, Anna Hicks, Cees van Westen
Pubblicato in: Annals of Geophysics, Numero 67, 2025, ISSN 2037-416X
Editore: Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV
DOI: 10.4401/AG-9191

How to better link landslide inventory mapping with loss and damage reporting

Autori: David Urueña, Cees van Westen, Luigi Lombardo, Marc van den Homberg, Hakan Tanyas, Olivier Dewitte, Ashok Dahal
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numero 142, 2026, ISSN 2212-4209
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.IJDRR.2026.106242

A Novel Robust Meta-Model Framework for Predicting Crop Yield Probability Distributions Using Multisource Data

Autori: Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P., Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Boere, E., Frank, S., Kahil, T., Wang, G., Balkovič, J., et al
Pubblicato in: Cybernetics and Systems Analysis, Numero 59, 2023, ISSN 1573-8337
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10559-023-00620-z

From Risk Perception to Action: The Behavioral Forces Shaping Disaster Preparedness

Autori: I. Armaş, D. Dobre, A. C. Albulescu
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF007679

A comparative impact chain analysis of 1999 Kocaeli and 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes

Autori: Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Arslanlı, K. Y., Aşıcı, A. A., Kalkanlı, D., & Yılmaz, A.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Design for Resilience in Architecture and Planning, Numero 4, 2023, ISSN 2757-6329
Editore: DRArch
DOI: 10.47818/DRArch.2023.v4si109

Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations

Autori: Brotons, M., Haarsma, R., Bloemendaal, N. et al.
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 1432-0894
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07072-3

Tracking the Dynamics and Uncertainties of Soil Organic Carbon in Agricultural Soils Based on a Novel Robust Meta-Model Framework Using Multisource Data

Autori: Tatiana Ermolieva, Petr Havlik, Andrey Lessa-Derci-Augustynczik, Stefan Frank, Juraj Balkovic, Rastislav Skalsky, Andre Deppermann, Mahdi (Andrè) Nakhavali, Nadejda Komendantova, Taher Kahil, Gang Wang, Christian Folberth, Pavel S. Knopov
Pubblicato in: Sustainability, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2071-1050
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/SU16166849

Strengthening all-of-society approaches for disaster resilient societies through competency building: A European research agenda

Autori: Nathan Clark, Kees Boersma, Emmanuel Raju, Antonio Opromolla, Kati Orru, Sten Hansson, Raffaella Russo, Maria Vittoria Gargiulo, Gabriella Duca, Paolo Capuano, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Lydia Cumiskey, Max Steinhausen, Matthieu Branlat, Alexandra Olson, Nina Blom Andersen, Robert Larruina, Funda Atun, Cees van Westen, Rosa Tamborrino, Maike Vollmer
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numero 121, 2025, ISSN 2212-4209
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.105345

Towards a practical multi-hazard interrelation classification: implications for assessing their impacts

Autori: Till Wenzel, Cees van Westen, Mariya Sunil, Núria Pantaleoni Reluy, Philipp Marr, Thomas Glade, Rainer Bell
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards, Numero 122, 2026, ISSN 0921-030X
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S11069-025-07901-0

Temporal and spatial seismic risk scenarios of Istanbul

Autori: Seda Kundak, Çağlar Göksu, Kerem Yavuz Arslanlı, Ahmet Atıl Aşıcı, Ali Yılmaz, Duygu Kalkanlı, Cihan Mert Sabah, Betül Ergün Konukçu, Ece Özden Pak
Pubblicato in: Journal of Risk Research, Numero 29, 2026, ISSN 1366-9877
Editore: Informa UK Limited
DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2025.2522667

Navigating the Currents: Land Use Challenges Amidst Water and Food Security Debates and Social Media Misperceptions

Autori: Nadejda Komendantova, Hossein Hassani, Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Ahmed Al Salaymeh, Louy Qoaider
Pubblicato in: Land, Numero 13, 2025, ISSN 2073-445X
Editore: MDPI AG
DOI: 10.3390/LAND13091525

Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations

Autori: Marta Brotons, Rein Haarsma, Nadia Bloemendaal, Hylke de Vries, Teddy Allen
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Numero 62, 2024, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1007/S00382-023-07072-3

Modeling evacuation activities amid compound hazards: Insights from hurricane Irma in Southeast Florida

Autori: Yu Han, Wei Zhai, Pallab Mozumder, Cees van Westen, Changjie Chen
Pubblicato in: Travel Behaviour and Society, Numero 38, 2025, ISSN 2214-367X
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.TBS.2024.100933

A multi-hazard framework integrating flood and landslide early warning systems: Application to the Tordera river basin (Catalonia, Spain)

Autori: Kumar Yeditha, P., Hürlimann, M., Berenguer, M.
Pubblicato in: Egusphere, 2024
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU24-943

Forensic insights into Gloria's storm multi-hazard damages in Catalonia.

Autori: Pantaleoni, N., Hürlimann, M., Lantada, N
Pubblicato in: Egusphere, 2024
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU24-556

Integrated Modelling for Catastrophic and Systemic Risks Management: Robust Coherent Balance Between Ex-Ante and Ex-Post Measures

Autori: Tatiana Ermolieva, Nadejda Komendantova, Seda Kundak, Cihan Mert Sabah, Marcel Hürlimann, Nieves Lantada Zarzosa, Pavel Knopov
Pubblicato in: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, Nexus of Sustainability, 2026
Editore: Springer Nature Switzerland
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-03616-2_2

Search Browse Information Policies Login Integrated Modeling for Managing Catastrophic Risks: Vulnerability Analysis and Systemic Risks Management

Autori: Komendantova, N. , Ermolieva, T., Zobeidi, T., Armas, I., Toma-Danila, D., & Hürlimann, M.
Editore: Wiley

Robust Statistical Estimation and Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization: Quantile Regression EPIC Meta-Model of Soil Organic Carbon for Robust Decision Making with GLOBIOM

Autori: Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P. , Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Frank, S. , Deppermann, A., Nakhavali, A. , & Balkovič, J.
Editore: Wiley-ISTE

Integrated Solutions and Distributed Models’ Linkage Procedures for Food–Energy–Water–Environmental Nexus Security Modeling and Management

Autori: Ermolieva, T., Zagorodny, A., Bogdanov, V., Havlik, P. , Rovenskaya, E. , Komendantova, N. , & Knopov, P.
Editore: Wiley-ISTE

Linking Catastrophe Modeling and Stochastic Optimization Techniques for Integrated Catastrophe Risk Analysis and Management

Autori: Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Komendantova, N., Norkin, V., Knopov, P., & Gorbachuk, V.
Pubblicato in: 2023, ISBN 9781003260196
Editore: Taylor&Francis
DOI: 10.1201/9781003260196-2

Report 2 of Workshops Application Case Studies

Autori: Funda Atun, Cees van Westen, Dinand Alkema, Iuliana Armas, Cosmina Albulescu, Silvia Cocuccioni, Till Wenzel, Philipp Marr, Seda Kundak, Caglar Goksu, Marcel Hurlimann, Serge Monturet, Joris Ranchin, Ahmet Atıl Asici, Kerem Yavuz Arslanlı, Duygu Kalkanlı,
Pubblicato in: 2024
Editore: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/ZENODO.10895035

Report 1 of Workshops in Application Case Studies

Autori: Atun Funda; Ruxandra Mocanu; Iluiana Armas; Silvia Cocuccioni; Lotte Savelberg; Philipp Marr; Seda Kundak; Caglar Goksu; Till Wenzel; Dinand Alkema; Pauline Kruiver; Elske van Zeeuw de-Dalfsen
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7790149

Fastflood.org, an open-source super-fast flood model in the browser

Autori: van den Bout, B., Jetten, V., van Westen, C., and Lombardo, L
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU23-3611

The web-based simulation and information service for multi-hazard impact chains. Design document

Autori: Van Westen, Cees; Naz, Iqra; Atun, Funda; Hassinger, Liv; van den Bout, Bastian; Flacke, Johannes; Manzella, Irene; Marr, Philipp; Agmon, Gal; Ottow, Bouke; Hurlimann, Marcel; Kuman, PAvan Yeditha; Cocuccioni, Silvia; Schollerer, Lea; Kulakowska, Michalina; Koelle, Bettina; Ermolieva, Tatiana; Twayana, Rabina
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8199938

Report on participatory workshops in the four application case study sites, including impact chains diagrams for each analysed event

Autori: Cocuccioni, Silvia; Romagnoli, Federica; Pittore, Massimiliano; Ergün Konukçu, Betul; Kundak, Seda; Göksu, Çağlar; Aşıcı, Ahmet; Arslanlı, Kerem; Kalkanlı, Duygu; Pak, Ece Özden; Savelberg, Lotte; Kalubowila, Palindi; Armas, Iuliana; Danila, Dragos Toma; Osaci, Gabriela; Albulescu, Cosmina; Wenzel, Till; Marr, Philipp; Atun, Funda; Bockarjova, Marija; Witvliet, Ben
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8200492

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Pubblicazioni

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