Cel
CARBOCHANGE will provide the best possible process-based quantification of net ocean carbon uptake under changing climate conditions using past and present ocean carbon cycle changes for a better prediction of future ocean carbon uptake. We will improve the quantitative understanding of key biogeochemical and physical processes through a combination of observations and models. We will upscale new process understanding to large-scale integrative feedbacks of the ocean carbon cycle to climate change and rising carbon dioxide concentrations. We will quantify the vulnerability of the ocean carbon sources and sinks in a probabilistic sense using cutting edge coupled Earth system models under a spectrum of emission scenarios including climate stabilisation scenarios as required for the 5th IPCC assessment report. The drivers for the vulnerabilities will be identified. The most actual observations of the changing ocean carbon sink will be systematically integrated with the newest ocean carbon models, a coupled land-ocean model, an Earth system model of intermediate complexity, and fully fledged Earth system models through a spectrum of data assimilation methods as well as advanced performance assessment tools. Results will be optimal process descriptions and most realistic error margins for future ocean carbon uptake quantifications with models under the presently available observational evidence. The project will deliver calibrated future evolutions of ocean pH and carbonate saturation as required by the research community on ocean acidification in the EU project EPOCA and further projects in this field. The time history of atmosphere-ocean carbon fluxes past, present, and future will be synthesised globally as well as regionally for the transcontinental RECCAP project. Observations and model results will merge into GEOSS/GEO through links with the European coordination action COCOS and will prepare the marine branch of the European Research Infrastructure ICOS.
Program(-y)
Zaproszenie do składania wniosków
FP7-ENV-2010
Zobacz inne projekty w ramach tego zaproszenia
System finansowania
CP-IP - Large-scale integrating project
Koordynator
5020 Bergen
Norwegia
Uczestnicy (29)
2100 O Kobenhavn
29280 Plouzane
75015 Paris 15
75252 Paris
27570 Bremerhaven
80539 Munchen
28359 Bremen
121 Reykjavik
H91 Galway
20000 Casablanca
1797 SZ Den Hoorn Texel
5007 Bergen
5008 Bergen
28006 Madrid
35001 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria
405 30 Goeteborg
8092 Zuerich
3012 Bern
EX1 3PB Exeter
SN2 1EU Swindon Wiltshire
PL1 3DH Plymouth
BS8 1QU Bristol
NR4 7TJ Norwich
0001 Pretoria
08544-2001 Princeton, Nj
B3H 4R2 Halifax
24148 Kiel
91390 Morsang Sur Orge
EX4 4QJ Exeter