Descrizione del progetto
Rischi di investimento nelle repubbliche post-sovietiche
Durante i primi due decenni del 21° secolo, molte repubbliche post-sovietiche hanno introdotto riforme economiche per attrarre investimenti stranieri. Tuttavia, gli investitori affrontano ancora rischi derivanti da alti tassi di corruzione e dal ruolo degli oligarchi locali. Il progetto NEW MARKETS, finanziato dall’UE, individuerà rischi invisibili e non ufficiali che potrebbero danneggiare l’attività commerciale estera. Il progetto confronterà lo sviluppo delle riforme economiche in due gruppi di paesi: quelli che hanno precedentemente adottato la piena liberalizzazione (Estonia, Georgia e Kirghizistan) e quelli che solo di recente hanno aperto i loro mercati (Bielorussia, Kazakistan e Uzbekistan). Condurrà anche una valutazione empirica delle politiche volte a migliorare il contesto imprenditoriale nei suddetti paesi.
Obiettivo
The past ten years have seen several changes in post-USSR business environments. From Kazakhstan to Belarus, and eventually Uzbekistan in 2016, a growing number of post-USSR republics have gradually begun economic reforms to allow foreign businesses to operate in their territory. These declared intentions, however, are sometimes contrasted by non-official, or informal, barriers into domestic and regional markets. Indeed, from rampant corruption to the necessity to get protection from local oligarchs, entering post-Soviet markets involves several risks. New Markets addresses the current limited existence of clear instructions that could enable new, and existing economic actors to gain an overview into the hidden risks associated with business activities in the post-Soviet region. Our research follows a three stage approach:
First, we will conduct a review of policy measures adopted in the past 10 years (2008-2018) to liberalize the markets in our target countries. Our analysis will compare three countries that have fully opened to foreign investors already in the early 2000 – Estonia, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan - with three countries that have only recently shown a more cooperative attitude - Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan. We will survey the major mechanisms, and policies, adopted in these six countries to evaluate how they have ended up affecting the business environment.
Second, we will conduct an empirical evaluation of the measures adopted for improving the business climate in the target countries. This will be done through a national survey of core business actors in each country
Third, building upon results of the second stage, we will map challenges and opportunities in the region comparing macro and micro perspectives and testing government-led decisions against their results.
Campo scientifico
Parole chiave
Programma(i)
Meccanismo di finanziamento
MSCA-RISE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Research and Innovation Staff Exchange (RISE)Coordinatore
9 Dublin
Irlanda