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Economic and monetary integration in the Southern African development community


Research objectives and content
The objective of this project is to complete and extend on-going research on the pros and cons of further economic and monetary integration with the Southern African Development Community (SADC). More specifically, a first paper reviews the recent economic evolution of the different SADC member states with the objective of assessing the gains and losses of forming a monetary union. In doing so. special attention is given to the existence of idiosyncratic (internal and external) shocks on the one hand and to the impact of the different economic and structural adjustment programs on the convergence process within the region. In a second paper, I extend current (successful) reduced-form model of the real exchange rate to the case of developing countries and estimate it for SADC. The model will be used to assess the impact and long run effects of major institutional changes, the extend of South-African dominance in the region, and the convergence process. In a third paper. I develop a small open developing economy model with forward looking expectations, three goods and the possibility of dual financial markets, to estimate the impact of internal and external shocks and simulate the effect of a monetary union. Training Content (objective, benefit and expected impact)
The objective of the project is to acquire expertise in the field of international economics applied to developing countries. The project should allow me to produce both original academic work and useful policy recommendations on issues of economic and monetary integration in Africa. These results should not only be of interest to of officials in the SADC countries and secretary but also to the European Community and international bodies such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

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The Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford
Wkład UE
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Manor Road
OX1 3UL Oxford
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