The project advances the state of the art by introducing a structure-dependent multiscale modelling approach to electrochemical carbon dioxide conversion. Conventional kinetic models typically assume simplified, static catalyst surfaces and treat active sites as identical and unchanging. This limits their ability to explain why catalysts with different shapes or surface orientations produce different chemical products. The key scientific breakthrough of the project is the development of a modelling framework that explicitly links nanoparticle morphology, surface thermodynamics, reaction energetics and macroscopic product formation within a single, coherent toolchain. Instead of relying on averaged or idealised surface descriptions, the approach captures how realistic catalyst structures evolve under reaction conditions and how specific surface sites influence competing reaction pathways.
The results demonstrate that minority surface structures, which may be present only in small amounts under equilibrium conditions, can dominate catalytic selectivity because of their ability to stabilise critical reaction intermediates. This finding provides a quantitative explanation for experimentally observed structure–selectivity relationships that were previously interpreted only qualitatively. The framework therefore moves the field from empirical correlation toward predictive understanding. Beyond the scientific advance, the project delivers a reusable digital modelling capability that can be adapted to other catalytic systems. By enabling the translation of atomic-scale reaction energetics into reactor-scale kinetic behaviour, the methodology provides a foundation for predictive catalyst design in sustainable chemical manufacturing. It provides both a scientific advance and a practical digital foundation for future research, industrial innovation and low-carbon process development.