Cel "Uncertainty is pervasive in all aspects of climate change. Although this is beyond dispute, the vast majority of research assessing climate ignores uncertainty, in large part because of the technical complexities involved. The present project aims at advancing substantially the way we conceptualize, model and frame the climate change policy making process, focusing on the central role of uncertainty.The first step is that of applying state of the art techniques from operation research (stochastic dynamic and approximate dynamic programming) to the realm of integrated assessment models (the conventional tool used to perform climate change analysis). These techniques enable us to capture a wide range of stochastic phenomena in the decision process. However, to really move forward the research edge one needs to shift the focus on to the way we, as individuals, perceive these uncertain phenomena.Indeed, the literature on decision making under uncertainty spans way beyond economics, statistics and operations research: Notably psychology and philosophy. These disciplines have had a major role in extending what we know about the process of decision making under uncertainty, and this project aims at reconciling this strand of literature with that on climate change policy design and assessment. The three main research questions are:1) What are key risk and uncertainty perception issues and “biases” when we face climate change and under what instances should they be included in normative analyses of climate change?2) How can we map these “alternative” representations of uncertainty and risk perception into integrated assessment models and how will these affect the normative predicaments of these models ?3) How can we communicate and frame uncertainty itself, as well as results of stochastic analyses, in a way that help us reducing those biases that have no normative role, but arise from our limited attentional and information processing capacity?" Dziedzina nauki social sciencessociologygovernancecrisis managementnatural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Program(-y) FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013) Temat(-y) ERC-SG-SH3 - ERC Starting Grant - Environment and society Zaproszenie do składania wniosków ERC-2013-StG Zobacz inne projekty w ramach tego zaproszenia System finansowania ERC-SG - ERC Starting Grant Instytucja przyjmująca UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI Wkład UE € 1 045 600,00 Adres VIA SARFATTI 25 20136 Milano Włochy Zobacz na mapie Region Nord-Ovest Lombardia Milano Rodzaj działalności Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Kierownik naukowy Valentina Bosetti (Prof.) Kontakt administracyjny Luigi Pellegrino (Mr.) Linki Kontakt z organizacją Opens in new window Strona internetowa Opens in new window Koszt całkowity Brak danych Beneficjenci (2) Sortuj alfabetycznie Sortuj według wkładu UE Rozwiń wszystko Zwiń wszystko UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI Włochy Wkład UE € 1 045 600,00 Adres VIA SARFATTI 25 20136 Milano Zobacz na mapie Region Nord-Ovest Lombardia Milano Rodzaj działalności Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Kierownik naukowy Valentina Bosetti (Prof.) Kontakt administracyjny Luigi Pellegrino (Mr.) Linki Kontakt z organizacją Opens in new window Strona internetowa Opens in new window Koszt całkowity Brak danych TRUSTEES OF COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY IN THE CITY OF NEW YORK Stany Zjednoczone Wkład UE € 100 402,00 Adres AMSTERDAM AVENUE 1210 ROOM 10027 7003 New York Zobacz na mapie Rodzaj działalności Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Kontakt administracyjny Jonathan Starke (Mr.) Linki Kontakt z organizacją Opens in new window Strona internetowa Opens in new window Koszt całkowity Brak danych
