Cel Our society increasingly relies on numerical atmospheric models to predict extreme events such as intense storms or rare flow regime changes such as those leading to heat waves. Yet, how well these events can be reproduced with those models is currently unknown. In this project, we will make use of advances in the mathematics of stochastic differential equations to determine how the presence of delayed feedback influences the rates of rare transitions between flow regimesand the separation of nearby trajectories in geophysical fluid flows. Delayed feedbacks are an essential element of systems without a time scale separation, such as the atmosphere. This study is possible due to recent extensions of large deviation theory to systems with delay. We will also determine how approximations of dynamical systems influence the distributions of extreme events. Here we will use the theory of extreme values in dynamical systems that has been developed in the last few years and finite Markov approximation of the transfer operator. Together these results will greatly advance the understanding of how complex systems such as the Earth system can be simulated. Dziedzina nauki nauki przyrodniczematematykamatematyka czystaanaliza matematycznarównania różniczkowenauki przyrodniczematematykamatematyka stosowanasystemy dynamiczne Program(-y) FP7-PEOPLE - Specific programme "People" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013) Temat(-y) FP7-PEOPLE-2013-IOF - Marie Curie Action: "International Outgoing Fellowships for Career Development" Zaproszenie do składania wniosków FP7-PEOPLE-2013-IOF Zobacz inne projekty w ramach tego zaproszenia System finansowania MC-IOF - International Outgoing Fellowships (IOF) Koordynator THE UNIVERSITY OF READING Adres Whiteknights campus whiteknights house RG6 6AH Reading Zjednoczone Królestwo Zobacz na mapie Region South East (England) Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire Berkshire Rodzaj działalności Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Kontakt administracyjny Mary Abdul (Mrs.) Linki Kontakt z organizacją Opens in new window Strona internetowa Opens in new window Wkład UE Brak danych Uczestnicy (1) Sortuj alfabetycznie Sortuj według wkładu UE Rozwiń wszystko Zwiń wszystko UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG Zakończenie uczestnictwa Niemcy Wkład UE € 0,00 Adres Mittelweg 177 20148 Hamburg Zobacz na mapie Region Hamburg Hamburg Hamburg Rodzaj działalności Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Kontakt administracyjny Simone Ludwig (Ms.) Linki Kontakt z organizacją Opens in new window Strona internetowa Opens in new window Środki z innych źródeł Brak danych
