Prediction and management of migration are a major challenge for the EU and also for many stakeholder groups that provide resources and assistance to migrants. Reliable predictions of migrants is crucial for better assistance and for adequate allocation of resources at the EU borders. Yet, to date, there are no accurate large-scale studies that can reliably predict new migrants arriving in Europe.
The purpose of ITFLOWS was to provide accurate predictions and adequate management solutions of migration flows in the EU in the phases of reception, relocation, settlement and integration of migration. These insights are provided by an evidence-based ICT enabled solution -the EUMigraTool (EMT)- and precise models. All solutions have been continually validated by policy makers and practitioners.
The EMT targets first-line-practitioners, second-level reception organisations and municipalities. It aims to provide solutions based on the prediction of migration flows and the identification of risks of tensions between migrants and EU citizens. Also, an in-depth analysis on drivers, patterns and choices of migration as well as public sentiment towards migration lead to the drafting of adequate recommendations and good practices for policy makers, governments and EU institutions.
In particular, the objectives were the following:
-To make accurate models and predictions on migration in the EU;
-To create the EMT for municipalities and civil society organisations;
-To provide policy solutions for the management irregular arrivals and asylum systems in the EU;
-To minimise potential risks of tension and conflict between migrants and EU citizens;
-To provide policy solutions for optimising integration of refugees in the EU.
In conclusion, ITFLOWS has undertaken a crucial mission in addressing the multifaceted challenges of migration management in the EU. The absence of accurate large-scale studies predicting migrant flows has created a significant gap, one that ITFLOWS sought to bridge through the EMT and precise predictive models. By focusing on reception, relocation, settlement, and integration phases, ITFLOWS not only aimed to assist first-line practitioners and civil society organizations through EMT but also provided invaluable insights to policymakers and governments. The project's comprehensive objectives, ranging from accurate prediction models and EMT creation to policy solutions for asylum seekers’ arrivals and integration optimisation, reflect its commitment to enhancing both the accuracy of migration predictions and the effectiveness of management strategies. ITFLOWS stands as a pioneering initiative, offering a robust foundation for evidence-based policymaking, ultimately contributing to more informed, empathetic, and efficient management of migration flows within the EU.
