Defining Successful Adaptation (O1):
IMAGINE Adaptation aims to understand effective and successful local climate adaptation. To achieve this, we are combining expert knowledge with local insights. A critical review in Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability identified three key adaptation challenges: a one-size-fits-all approach, limited recognition of diverse knowledge and values, and a lack of experimentation. These barriers hinder adaptive governance. The findings have instigated discussions at key European institutions. Building on this, we reviewed “everyday adaptations” in urban contexts, analysing its practices and meanings. Findings suggest the need for more nuanced approaches beyond conventional IPCC frameworks.
A workshop in Norway brought together 27 experts to explore successful adaptation through a Theory of Change approach. Participants co-developed a statement focusing on equity, well-being, and success conditions, forming a foundation for urban case studies. Interviews with 50 experts revealed how adaptation narratives are shifting towards human rights, systemic change, and equity, highlighting the complexities of current adaptation efforts beyond risk framings.
Another study analysed how 100 global practitioners imagine urban adaptation using 31 visual representations. The findings revealed four dominant themes: green utopia, sustainable lifestyles, climate emergency, and technocracy. These findings have been shared with European stakeholders. A critical review linked these imaginaries to positive futures thinking, promoting context-sensitive strategies, justice, and iterative learning.
Discussions on the need for disruptive changes in adaptation led to a publication in Local Government Studies and a special issue in Buildings and Cities.
Monitoring & Evaluation Trends and Needs (O2):
In IMAGINE Adaptation we also focus on accelerating transformative monitoring, evaluation and learning. A systematic review of 137 studies identified 901 urban adaptation indicators, showing a lack of standardisation and practical usability. This research was undertaken in collaboration with the International Platform of Adaptation Metrics. A survey of 150 experts further identified challenges, providing insights for future workshops and strategies. Our research has also contributed to several MSc and PhD research publications.
Urban Case Studies (O3):
To ensure adaptation is grounded in local realities, we engage directly with cities. A research campaign has engaged nine cities, with three more expected to join. Tailored research plans and local advisory groups have been co-created, combining online and in-person collaboration. Plans are in place for communities of practice, fostering shared learning. A comparative study of these urban areas will enhance knowledge exchange and align methodologies.
Local to Global (O4):
IMAGINE Adaptation examines how local efforts might influence global climate policies. A study published in Cities applied an Intersectional Climate Justice framework to align global goals with local needs. Team participation in global forums like Adaptation Futures, EU Regions and Cities Week, and COP29 bridges local and global governance. Interviews and a science-policy workshop will explore how local progress can inform broader climate policies.
