Efficient and rapidly SCAlable EU-wide evidence-driven Pandemic response plans through dynamic Epidemic data assimilation

Informacje na temat projektu

ESCAPE

Identyfikator umowy o grant: 101095619

DOI

10.3030/101095619

Data podpisania przez KE 6 Października 2022

Data rozpoczęcia 1 Stycznia 2023

Data zakończenia 31 Grudnia 2026

Finansowanie w ramach

• Health

Koszt całkowity

€ 2 420 930,00

Wkład UE

€ 2 420 929,75

Koordynowany przez

UNIVERSITEIT HASSELT
Belgium

CORDIS oferuje możliwość skorzystania z odnośników do publicznie dostępnych publikacji i rezultatów projektów realizowanych w ramach programów ramowych HORYZONT.

Odnośniki do rezultatów i publikacji związanych z poszczególnymi projektami 7PR, a także odnośniki do niektórych konkretnych kategorii wyników, takich jak zbiory danych i oprogramowanie, są dynamicznie pobierane z systemu OpenAIRE .

Rezultaty

Documents, reports (3)

Report on the 1st meeting of the Data Stewards Network for pandemic preparedness
Initial inventory of results
Report summarising the definitions of relevant outcome & process indicators.

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Public website available to release updates of project outputs to lay public and press, as deemed appropriate by the SC

Publikacje

Peer reviewed articles (38)

Estimating the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 transmission in the Netherlands

Autorzy: Jantien A. Backer, Don Klinkenberg, Fuminari Miura, Jacco Wallinga
Opublikowane w: PLOS Computational Biology, Numer 21, 2025, ISSN 1553-7358
Wydawca: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1013502

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 passes and mandates on disease transmission, vaccination intention, and uptake: A scoping review

Autorzy: Yessika Adelwin Natalia, Margaux Delporte, Dries De Witte, Philippe Beutels, Mathias Dewatripont and Geert Molenberghs
Opublikowane w: BMC Public Health, 2023, ISSN 1471-2458
Wydawca: BioMed Central
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-023-17203-4

Geospatial patterns of excess mortality in Belgium: Insights from the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic

Autorzy: Yessika Adelwin Natalia, Geert Molenberghs, Christel Faes and Thomas Neyens
Opublikowane w: Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology, 2024, ISSN 1877-5853
Wydawca: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.sste.2024.100660

Relating mental health, health-related quality of life and well-being in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional comparison in 14 European countries in early 2023

Autorzy: Zhuxin Mao, Koen Pepermans, Philippe Beutels
Opublikowane w: Public Health, Numer 238, 2025, ISSN 0033-3506
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.PUHE.2024.11.010

Integrating dynamical modeling and phylogeographic inference to characterize global influenza circulation

Autorzy: Francesco Parino, Emanuele Gustani-Buss, Trevor Bedford, Marc A Suchard, Nídia S Trovão, Andrew Rambaut, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto, Philippe Lemey
Opublikowane w: PNAS Nexus, Numer 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-6542
Wydawca: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/PNASNEXUS/PGAE561

Epidemic graph diagrams as analytics for epidemic control in the data-rich era

Autorzy: Eugenio Valdano, Davide Colombi, Chiara Poletto & Vittoria Colizza
Opublikowane w: Nature, 2023, ISSN 1476-4687
Wydawca: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43856-1

Flexible Bayesian estimation of incubation times

Autorzy: Oswaldo Gressani; Andrea Torneri; Niel Hens; Christel Faes
Opublikowane w: American Journal of Epidemiology, 2024, ISSN 1476-6256
Wydawca: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwae192

Nonparametric serial interval estimation with uniform mixtures

Autorzy: Oswaldo Gressani, Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: PLOS Computational Biology, Numer 21, 2025, ISSN 1553-7358
Wydawca: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1013338

The impact of spatial connectivity on NPIs effectiveness

Autorzy: Chiara E. Sabbatini, Giulia Pullano, Laura Di Domenico, Stefania Rubrichi, Shweta Bansal & Vittoria Colizza
Opublikowane w: BMC Infectious Diseases, 2024, ISSN 1471-2334
Wydawca: BioMed
DOI: 10.1186/s12879-023-08900-x

Identifying the main drivers of transmission in the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in Portugal

Autorzy: Constantino Caetano, Leonardo Angeli, Irma Varela-Lasheras, Pietro Coletti, Luisa Morgado, Pedro Lima, Lander Willem, Baltazar Nunes, Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: Scientific Reports, Numer 14, 2024, ISSN 2045-2322
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-024-76604-6

Bayesian Nowcasting with Laplacian-P-Splines

Autorzy: Bryan Sumalinab, Oswaldo Gressani, Niel Hens, Christel Faes
Opublikowane w: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Numer 34, 2025, ISSN 1061-8600
Wydawca: Informa UK Limited
DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2024.2395414

Defining “success” in managing pandemic across disciplines: insights from an expert consultation

Autorzy: Z Mao, Z Zsabokorszky, J Bilcke, P Beutels
Opublikowane w: European Journal of Public Health, Numer 35, 2025, ISSN 1101-1262
Wydawca: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/EURPUB/CKAF161.1852

A framework to assess the risk of yellow fever emergence

Autorzy: Charlotte Perlant, Raphaëlle Klitting, Vittoria Colizza, Katy A M Gaythorpe, Gaëlle Gabiane, Xavier de Lamballerie, Anna B Failloux, Simon Cauchemez, Paolo Bosetti
Opublikowane w: Journal of Travel Medicine, Numer 32, 2025, ISSN 1195-1982
Wydawca: Oxford University Press (OUP)
DOI: 10.1093/JTM/TAAF081

Characterising non-household contact patterns relevant to respiratory transmission in the USA: analysis of a cross-sectional survey

Autorzy: Juliana C Taube, Zachary Susswein, Vittoria Colizza, Shweta Bansal
Opublikowane w: The Lancet Digital Health, Numer 7, 2026, ISSN 2589-7500
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.LANDIG.2025.100888

Reflections On Epidemiological Modeling To Inform Policy During The COVID-19 Pandemic In Western Europe, 2020–23

Autorzy: Mark Jit, Kylie Ainslie, Christian Althaus, Constantino Caetano, Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Paolotti, Philippe Beutels, Lander Willem, John Edmunds, Baltazar Nunes, Sónia Namorado, Christel Faes, Nicola Low, Jacco Wallinga, and Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: Health Affairs, 2023, ISSN 0278-2715
Wydawca: Project HOPE
DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2023.00688

Determinants of COVID-19 vaccination coverage in European and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries

Autorzy: Vladimira Varbanova, Niel Hens, Philippe Beutels
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Public Health, Numer 12, 2025, ISSN 2296-2565
Wydawca: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FPUBH.2024.1466858

Planning and adjusting the COVID-19 booster vaccination campaign to reduce disease burden

Autorzy: Laura Di Domenico, Yair Goldberg and Vittoria Colizza
Opublikowane w: Infectious Disease Modelling, 2024, ISSN 2468-2152
Wydawca: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/J.IDM.2024.09.002

Contact behaviour before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic in the Netherlands: evidence from contact surveys, 2016 to 2017 and 2020 to 2023

Autorzy: Jantien A Backer, Eric R A Vos, Gerco den Hartog, Cheyenne C E van Hagen, Hester E de Melker, Fiona R M van der Klis, Jacco Wallinga
Opublikowane w: Eurosurveillance, Numer 29, 2024, ISSN 1560-7917
Wydawca: European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.43.2400143

An Efficient Approach to Nowcasting the Time-varying Reproduction Number

Autorzy: Bryan Sumalinab, Oswaldo Gressani, Niel Hens and Christel Faes
Opublikowane w: Epidemiology, 2024, ISSN 1531-5487
Wydawca: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001744

Mobility-driven synthetic contact matrices as a scalable solution for real-time pandemic response modeling

Autorzy: Laura Di Domenico, Paolo Bosetti, Chiara E. Sabbatini, Lulla Opatowski, Vittoria Colizza
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 17, 2026, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-026-68557-3

A Comparison of Items and Constructs of Standardized Health-Related Quality of Life and Mental Well-Being Measures

Autorzy: Zhuxin Mao, Jonas Crèvecoeur, Koen Pepermans, Paul Kind, Thomas Neyens, Philippe Beutels
Opublikowane w: Value in Health, Numer 27, 2025, ISSN 1098-3015
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JVAL.2024.01.005

Evaluating the COVID-19 responses of Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, February–June 2020: a counterfactual modeling study

Autorzy: Pieter de Boer, Fuminari Miura, Giske Lagerweij, Jacco Wallinga
Opublikowane w: BMC Medicine, Numer 23, 2025, ISSN 1741-7015
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/S12916-025-04071-5

Dengue virus importation risks in Africa: a modelling study

Autorzy: Jenicca Poongavanan, José Lourenço, Joseph L-H Tsui, Vittoria Colizza, Yajna Ramphal, Cheryl Baxter, Moritz U G Kraemer, Marcel Dunaiski, Tulio de Oliveira, Houriiyah Tegally
Opublikowane w: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numer 8, 2024, ISSN 2542-5196
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00272-9

Exploring influenza vaccination determinants through digital participatory surveillance

Autorzy: Kathleen Kelley, Nicolò Gozzi, Mattia Mazzoli, Daniela Paolotti
Opublikowane w: BMC Public Health, Numer 25, 2025, ISSN 1471-2458
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/S12889-025-22496-8

COVID-19-related health utility values and changes in COVID-19 patients and the general population: a scoping review

Autorzy: Mao, Zhuxin; Li, Xiao; Jit, Mark; Beutels, Philippe
Opublikowane w: Quality of life Research, 2024, ISSN 1573-2649
Wydawca: Springer International
DOI: 10.1007/s11136-023-03584-x

Estimates of epidemiological parameters for H5N1 influenza in humans: a rapid review

Autorzy: Jack Ward, Joshua W. Lambert, Timothy W. Russell, James M. Azam, Adam J. Kucharski, Sebastian Funk, Billy J. Quilty, Oswaldo Gressani, Niel Hens, W. John Edmunds
Opublikowane w: BMC Infectious Diseases, Numer 25, 2025, ISSN 1471-2334
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1186/S12879-025-11933-Z

The impact of quality-adjusted life years on evaluating COVID-19 mitigation strategies: lessons from age-specific vaccination roll-out and variants of concern in Belgium (2020-2022)

Autorzy: Lander Willem, Steven Abrams, Nicoals Franco, Pietro Coletti, Pieter J K Libin, James Wambua, Simon Couvreur, Emmanuel André, Tom Wenseleers, Zhuxin, Mao, Andrea Torneri, Christel Faes, Philippe Beutels en Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: BioMed Central (BMC), 2024, ISSN 1471-2458
Wydawca: BioMed Central
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18576-w

Estimating Re and overdispersion in secondary cases from the size of identical sequence clusters of SARS-CoV-2

Autorzy: Emma B Hodcroft, Martin S Wohlfender, Richard A Neher, Julien Riou, Christian L Althaus
Opublikowane w: PLOS Computational Biology, Numer 21, 2025, ISSN 1553-7358
Wydawca: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1012960

Epidemiological characteristics of monkeypox virus Clade Ib in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Autorzy: Cécile Kremer, Sabin Sabiti Nundu, Emmanuel Hasivirwe Vakaniaki, Isabel Brosius, Guy Mukari, Papy Munganga, Eugene Bangwen, Jean Claude Tshomba, Yves Mujula, Elise De Vos, Christophe Van Dijck, Sarah Houben, Oswaldo Gressani, Cris Kacita, Daniel Mukadi-Bamuleka, Tony Wawina-Bokalanga, Eddy Kinganda-Lusamaki, Adrienne Amuri-Aziza, Patrick Mutombo Lupola, Jean-Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum, Placide Mbala-Kingebeni, Laurens Liesenborghs, Niel Hens, Andrea Torneri
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 17, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-66875-6

Individual and neighborhood based socioeconomic factors relevant for contact behaviour and epidemic control

Autorzy: Laura Di Domenico, Martina L. Reichmuth, Christian L. Althaus
Opublikowane w: Communications Medicine, Numer 6, 2025, ISSN 2730-664X
Wydawca: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S43856-025-01282-Y

Assessing the role of children in the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium using perturbation analysis

Autorzy: Leonardo Angeli, Constantino Caetano, Nicolas Franco, Pietro Coletti, Christel Faes, Geert Molenberghs, Phiippe Beutels, Steven Abrams, Lander Willem and Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/S41467-025-57087-Z

Modelling practices, data provisioning, sharing and dissemination needs for pandemic decision-making: a European survey-based modellers’ perspective, 2020 to 2022

Autorzy: Esther van Kleef, Wim Van Bortel, Elena Arsevska, Luca Busani, Simon Dellicour, Laura Di Domenico, Marius Gilbert, Sabine L van Elsland, Moritz UG Kraemer, Shengjie Lai, Philippe Lemey, Stefano Merler, Zoran Milosavljevic, Annapaola Rizzoli, Danijela Simic, Andrew J Tatem, Maguelonne Teisseire, William Wint, Vittoria Colizza, Chiara Poletto
Opublikowane w: Eurosurveillance, Numer 30, 2025, ISSN 1560-7917
Wydawca: European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2025.30.42.2500216

Dynamic Landscape of Mpox Importation Risks Driven by Heavy-Tailed Sexual Contact Networks Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in 2022

Autorzy: Sung-mok Jung, Fuminari Miura, Hiroaki Murayama, Sebastian Funk, Jacco Wallinga, Justin Lessier and Akira Endo
Opublikowane w: Journal of Infectious diseases, 2023, ISSN 0022-1899
Wydawca: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/INFDIS/JIAE433

Genomic assessment of invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1

Autorzy: JOSEPH L.-H. TSUI, JOHN T. MCCRONE, BEN LAMBERT, SUMALI BAJAJ, RHYS P. D. INWARD, PAOLO BOSETTI , ROSARIO EVANS PENA, HOURIIYAH TEGALLY, VERITY HILL, ALEXANDER E. ZAREBSKI , THOMAS P. PEACOCK , LUYANG LIU, NEO WU , MEGAN DAVIS, ISAAC I. BOGOCH, KAMRAN KHA
Opublikowane w: Science, 2023, ISSN 1095-9203
Wydawca: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/science.adg6605

The epidemiology of pathogens with pandemic potential: A review of key parameters and clustering analysis

Autorzy: Jack Ward, Oswaldo Gressani, Sol Kim, Niel Hens, W. John Edmunds
Opublikowane w: Epidemics, Numer 54, 2026, ISSN 1755-4365
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.EPIDEM.2025.100882

Preserving friendships in school contacts: An algorithm to construct synthetic temporal networks for epidemic modelling

Autorzy: Lucille Calmon, Elisabetta Colosi, Giulia Bassignana, Alain Barrat, Vittoria Colizza
Opublikowane w: PLOS Computational Biology, Numer 20, 2024, ISSN 1553-7358
Wydawca: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
DOI: 10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1012661

Repetition in social contacts: implications in modelling the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases in pre-pandemic and pandemic settings

Autorzy: Neilshan Loedy, Jacco Wallinga, Niel Hens and Andrea Torneri
Opublikowane w: Proceedings of the royal society B Biological sciences, 2024, ISSN 1471-2954
Wydawca: Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.1296

Who acquires infection from whom? A sensitivity analysis of transmission dynamics during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium

Autorzy: Leonardo Angeli, Constantino Pereira Caetano, Nicolas Franco, Steven Abrams, Pietro Coletti, Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse, Sorin Pop and Niel Hens
Opublikowane w: Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2024, ISSN 1095-8541
Wydawca: Academic Press Inc.
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111721

Other (5)

Estimating Re and overdispersion in secondary cases from the size of identical sequence clusters of SARS-CoV-2

Autorzy: Emma B. Hodcroft, Martin S. Wohlfender, Richard A. Neher, Julien Riou and Christian L. Althaus
Opublikowane w: medRxiv, 2024
Wydawca: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (CSHL)
DOI: 10.1101/2024.05.26.24307940

Bayesian nowcasting with Laplacian-P-splines

Autorzy: Bryan Sumalinab, Oswaldo Gressani, Niel Hens and Christel Faes
Opublikowane w: medRxiv, 2022
Wydawca: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (CSHL)
DOI: 10.1101/2022.08.26.22279249

Preserving friendships in school contacts: an algorithm to construct synthetic temporal networks for epidemic modelling

Autorzy: Lucille Calmon, Elisabetta Colosi, Giulia Bassignana, Alain Barrat and VittoriaColizza
Opublikowane w: medRxiv, 2024
Wydawca: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (CSHL)
DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.20.24312288

Evaluating the COVID-19 responses of Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom, February-June 2020: A counterfactual modelling study

Autorzy: Pieter T. de Boer, Fuminari Miura, Giske R. Lagerweij and Jacco Wallinga
Opublikowane w: medRxiv, 2024
Wydawca: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (CSHL)
DOI: 10.1101/2024.07.05.24309992

From crisis support to COVID-19 pandemic preparedness

Autorzy: Sarah Vercruysse, Lisa Hermans, Anna Carnagie
Opublikowane w: Health Europe, 2023
Wydawca: Health Communications