Synchronisation to enhance reliability of climate predictions

Publikacje

Diabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño

Autorzy: Hyacinth C. Nnamchi, Mojib Latif, Noel S. Keenlyside, Joakim Kjellsson, Ingo Richter
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20452-1

Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate

Autorzy: Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa; Hisashi Nakamura; Hisashi Nakamura; Noel Keenlyside; Noel Keenlyside; Sandro W. Lubis; Katja Matthes
Opublikowane w: Scientific Reports, Numer 9 (1). Art.Nr. 3014., 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-39392-y

Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century

Autorzy: Lea Svendsen, Noel Keenlyside, Morven Muilwijk, Ingo Bethke, Nour-Eddine Omrani, Yongqi Gao
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05868-9

Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic

Autorzy: François Counillon, Noel Keenlyside, Thomas Toniazzo, Shunya Koseki, Teferi Demissie, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2021, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05605-8

Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models

Autorzy: Stephanie Gleixner, Noel S Keenlyside, Teferi D Demissie, François Counillon, Yiguo Wang, Ellen Viste
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 12/11, 2017, Strona(/y) 114016, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cfa

Simulating climate with a synchronization-based supermodel

Autorzy: Frank M. Selten, Francine J. Schevenhoven, Gregory S. Duane
Opublikowane w: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numer 27/12, 2017, Strona(/y) 126903, ISSN 1054-1500
Wydawca: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.4990721

Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate

Autorzy: Mao-Lin Shen, Noel Keenlyside, Bhuwan C. Bhatt, Gregory S. Duane
Opublikowane w: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numer 27/12, 2017, Strona(/y) 126704, ISSN 1054-1500
Wydawca: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.4990713

Attractor learning in synchronized chaotic systems in the presence of unresolved scales

Autorzy: W. Wiegerinck, F. M. Selten
Opublikowane w: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Numer 27/12, 2017, Strona(/y) 126901, ISSN 1054-1500
Wydawca: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.4990660

Unique relationship between tropical rainfall and SST to the north of the Mozambique Channel in boreal winter

Autorzy: Shunya Koseki, Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt
Opublikowane w: International Journal of Climatology, 2017, ISSN 0899-8418
Wydawca: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5378

Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics

Autorzy: Matthew Collins, Shoshiro Minobe, Marcelo Barreiro, Simona Bordoni, Yohai Kaspi, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida, Noel Keenlyside, Elisa Manzini, Christopher H. O’Reilly, Rowan Sutton, Shang-Ping Xie, Olga Zolina
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 8/2, 2018, Strona(/y) 101-108, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8

Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model

Autorzy: Shunya Koseki, Noel Keenlyside, Teferi Demissie, Thomas Toniazzo, Francois Counillon, Ingo Bethke, Mehmet Ilicak, Mao-Lin Shen
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2017, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3896-2

Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate

Autorzy: Hoffman H. N. Cheung, Noel Keenlyside, Nour-Eddine Omrani, Wen Zhou
Opublikowane w: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Numer 35/1, 2018, Strona(/y) 38-51, ISSN 0256-1530
Wydawca: Chinese Academy of Science
DOI: 10.1007/s00376-017-7156-5

Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas Current

Autorzy: Arielle Stela Nkwinkwa Njouodo, Shunya Koseki, Noel Keenlyside, Mathieu Rouault
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl077042

Evaluating Impacts of Recent Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Change

Autorzy: Fumiaki Ogawa, Noel Keenlyside, Yongqi Gao, Torben Koenigk, Shuting Yang, Lingling Suo, Tao Wang, Guillaume Gastineau, Tetsu Nakamura, Ho Nam Cheung, Nour-Eddine Omrani, Jinro Ukita, Vladimir Semenov
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 45/7, 2018, Strona(/y) 3255-3263, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017gl076502

Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic

Autorzy: Lea Svendsen, Noel Keenlyside, Ingo Bethke, Yongqi Gao, Nour-Eddine Omrani
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 8/9, 2018, Strona(/y) 793-797, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0247-1

The role of sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic

Autorzy: Lander R. Crespo, Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4489-4

Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific

Autorzy: Mao-Lin Shen, Noel Keenlyside, Frank Selten, Wim Wiegerinck, Gregory S. Duane
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 43/1, 2016, Strona(/y) 359-366, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL066562

Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from?

Autorzy: Elsa Mohino, Noel Keenlyside, Holger Pohlmann
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 47/11, 2016, Strona(/y) 3593-3612, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3416-9

Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models

Autorzy: Annika Reintges, Thomas Martin, Mojib Latif, Noel S. Keenlyside
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2016, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3180-x

The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall

Autorzy: Stephanie Gleixner, Noel Keenlyside, Ellen Viste, Diriba Korecha
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2016, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3421-z

The Dominant Patterns of Intraseasonal Rainfall Variability in May–October and November–April over the Tropical Western Pacific

Autorzy: Sunil Kumar Pariyar, Noel Keenlyside, Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt, Nour-Eddine Omrani
Opublikowane w: Monthly Weather Review, Numer 147/8, 2019, Strona(/y) 2941-2960, ISSN 0027-0644
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0383.1

Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF

Autorzy: Yiguo Wang, François Counillon, Noel Keenlyside, Lea Svendsen, Stephanie Gleixner, Madlen Kimmritz, Panxi Dai, Yongqi Gao
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04897-9

Influences of Lake Malawi on the spatial and diurnal variability of local precipitation

Autorzy: Shunya Koseki, Priscilla A. Mooney
Opublikowane w: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numer 23/7, 2019, Strona(/y) 2795-2812, ISSN 1607-7938
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-2795-2019

Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels

Autorzy: Francine Schevenhoven, Frank Selten, Alberto Carrassi, Noel Keenlyside
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, Numer 10/4, 2019, Strona(/y) 789-807, ISSN 2190-4987
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-789-2019

Tropical Atlantic Variability: Observations and Modeling

Autorzy: William Cabos, Alba de la Vara, Shunya Koseki
Opublikowane w: Atmosphere, Numer 10/9, 2019, Strona(/y) 502, ISSN 2073-4433
Wydawca: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10090502

Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa

Autorzy: Shunya Koseki, Benjamin Pohl, Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt, Noel Keenlyside, Arielle Stela Nkwinkwa Njouodo
Opublikowane w: Monthly Weather Review, Numer 146/12, 2018, Strona(/y) 4339-4356, ISSN 0027-0644
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0184.1

Frontogenesis of the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone

Autorzy: Shunya Koseki, Hervé Giordani, Katerina Goubanova
Opublikowane w: Ocean Science, Numer 15/1, 2019, Strona(/y) 83-96, ISSN 1812-0792
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/os-15-83-2019

A Satellite Era Warming Hole in the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean

Autorzy: Hyacinth C. Nnamchi, Mojib Latif, Noel S. Keenlyside, Wonsun Park
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numer 125/4, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015834

Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model

Autorzy: Hao Luo, Fei Zheng, Noel Keenlyside, Jiang Zhu
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05248-9

Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific

Autorzy: Sunil Kumar Pariyar, Noel Keenlyside, Asgeir Sorteberg, Thomas Spengler, Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt, Fumiaki Ogawa
Opublikowane w: Weather and Climate Extremes, Numer 29, 2020, Strona(/y) 100262, ISSN 2212-0947
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100262

Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming

Autorzy: Akintomide Afolayan Akinsanola, Wen Zhou, Tianjun Zhou, Noel Keenlyside
Opublikowane w: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numer 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Wydawca: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0125-1

Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process

Autorzy: Gregory S. Duane, Wim Wiegerinck, Frank Selten, Mao-Lin Shen, Noel Keenlyside
Opublikowane w: Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, 2018, Strona(/y) 101-121
Wydawca: Springer International Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-58895-7_5

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